Lars Emerson
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Chatroom: Which State Should Go First in the Primary?
After the disastrous Iowa Caucuses in 2020, there has been increased scrutiny of the first-in-the-nation competitions in the party primaries. Iowa (with the first caucus) and New Hampshire (with the first primary) are both disproportionately (90%) white, rural and not ...
Colorado’s Switzerland Trail is a Perfect Christmas Eve Drive
This Christmas Day, in true Colorado fashion, my family went on a hike in the balmy 50 degree weather that the Front Range is so often blessed with. Dozens of other families were out hiking, running, and generally walking around, ...
If Trump Runs in 2024, Who Will Be His Running Mate?
In 2019, we ran a piece about President Trump’s upcoming reelection and his relationship with Vice President Mike Pence — who we dubbed “the one man in the administration that President Trump cannot fire.” The article centered on whether or ...
What Else We’re Into This Week
The Economist: Why young men and women are drifting apart
Evaluating Our 2020 Presidential Ratings
With every state now called in the race for the presidency, it’s official: Joe Biden has won the election, becoming the first nominee to successfully unseat an incumbent president in almost 30 years. The Biden ticket featured the first ever ...
Our Final 2020 Presidential Election Ratings
Election Day is hours away, and after pushing out our final overview of the race for control of the Senate yesterday, we’re excited to give our final overview of the state of the presidential race. Our two-person team here at ...
Our Final 2020 Senate Election Ratings
Election Day is days away, and if you’re not glued to FiveThirtyEight, Politico, and political Twitter, you probably have a life. Our two-person team here at The Postrider certainly has been and we’re ready to stay up all night — ...
Presidential Race Ratings Update: Iowa
It’s been a couple weeks, and we’re really getting up against the wire here with less than one week until Election Day. But we have one last (probably) ratings change for our presidential map as we face down the election ...
Presidential Race Ratings Update: Michigan, Nebraska’s Second Congressional District, and Virginia
Another week, another series of ratings changes. We’re three weeks away from Election Day and looking every day at the wave of new polls and information coming in. After playing it safe for the last few weeks, we’ve come to ...
The Postrider’s 2020 Senate Ratings
The presidential election may be hoarding the spotlight this cycle, but Americans across 34 states will simultaneously determine the fate of the nation’s highest deliberative body, the Senate. With 35 seats up for election, and nearly two-thirds of them controlled ...
Presidential Race Ratings Update: Georgia, Ohio, and Utah
In the month since we released our 2020 presidential election ratings, we’ve been forced to reckon with two major news events for which the full impacts on the presidential election are unclear, but certainly relevant: the death of Justice Ruth ...
Running Mates: Episode 16 – Series Finale – 2020 – Harris v. Pence
In our series finale at the height of the 2020 election, Lars and Michael dive into a year wracked by a presidential impeachment, the coronavirus, and national protests, and explore Joe Biden’s selection of Kamala Harris as his running mate ...
The Postrider’s 2020 Presidential Ratings
Can you believe general election season is just getting started? Yes, with the conclusion of the Democratic and Republican national conventions in August, we’re officially off to the races! Call this election whatever you want: the “most important election in ...
Running Mates: Episode 15 – 2016 – Pence v. Kaine (Part 2)
In the part two of our 2016 election episode, Lars and Michael unpack their running mate choices for Hillary Clinton, argue about whether keeping Senate seats should be a priority, and end with the big conclusions about the vice presidential ...
Running Mates: Episode 14 – 2016 – Pence v. Kaine (Part 1)
In the part one of our 2016 election episode, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton taps Virginia Senator Tim Kaine as her running mate, while reality television star and businessman Donald Trump is nominated by the Republican Party and picks ...
Running Mates: Episode 13 – 2012 – Ryan v. Biden
With America still recovering from the Great Recession, Republican nominee Mitt Romney chooses “mini-Mitt” Wisconsin Congressman and House Budget Chairman Paul Ryan to hit incumbent President Barack Obama and Vice President Joe Biden on the big issue of the day: ...
A Last Look at the VP Picks as Biden’s Decision Looms
We’re finally at the precipice of the moment we’ve spent the entire year talking about: presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden’s vice presidential pick. It’s been a wild year, beginning with a competitive Democratic primary, where we talked about our ...
Running Mates: Episode 12 – 2008 – Biden v. Palin
As unpopular wars rage on, the economy collapses and Lars and Michael delve into Republican nominee John McCain’s miscalculation as he seeks a game changing vice presidential pick in Sarah Palin to counter the historic nomination of Barack Obama, who ...
Running Mates: Episode 11 – 2004 – Edwards v. Cheney
Amidst the War on Terror, President George W. Bush and his VP, Dick Cheney, are up for reelection against Massachusetts Senator John Kerry. In what turns into a presidential contest over their respective military records, patriotism, and foreign policy credentials, ...
An Obituary for NAFTA
This week, the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) will resolve into the new United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), ending a 26-year-old pact that was once the largest free trade agreement of its time. In these 26 years — and in ...
Running Mates: Episode 10 – 2000 – Cheney v. Lieberman (Part 2)
In the part two of our 2000 election episode, Lars and Michael discuss who Democratic candidate Al Gore should have put on the ticket instead of Joe Lieberman. They conclude with a broad analysis of the 2000 election, the direction ...
Running Mates: Episode 9 – 2000 – Cheney v. Lieberman (Part 1)
In the part one of our 2000 election episode, the impeached president Bill Clinton’s Vice President Al Gore runs for the presidency and picks Joe Lieberman to try and distance himself from Clinton. Meanwhile, Republicans seek a compassionate conservative and ...