My Musings on Weeks 5 and 6 of the NFL Season
We’re breaking down two weeks in one post again today… Week 5 Week 6
Our Full Election Model is Out: What It Says and How We Got Here
Ohio Could Be Democrats’ Saving Grace in the Senate. Or It Could Be Sherrod Brown’s Last Stand.
Is This the End of the Road for Jon Tester?
My Musings on Week 4 of the 2024 NFL Season
Nevada’s Senate Race Isn’t Quite as Competitive as 2022, But It’s Still Closer Than You Think
Democrat Jacky Rosen has an almost unbelievable lead in polls, why?
The Smallest Swing State is Also the Most Complicated
Nevada no longer clearly favors Democrats at the presidential level, but it is a shining example of how effort, issues, and relationships still matter.
New Jersey Isn’t a Swing State, But It Could Shift Toward Trump in 2024
The Garden State could use some more polling!
Probability Updates for Our Models
We've incorporated probability and odds of winning on our models.