Democrat Jacky Rosen has an almost unbelievable lead in polls, why?

We’ll have lots to say in the weeks to come about the incredibly strange midterm that continues to unfold. But with Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto’s successful reelection in Nevada, we can confidently say that control of the Senate will remain ...

For a year we’ve said this would be the most competitive this cycle, and then gone farther to argue that the Nevada Senate race is actually the most important race in the entire 2022 election. That hasn’t changed.

We’ve been waiting months for last month’s primaries in Nevada because we feel, and have been stressing for a while now, that Nevada is likely the most important state in the 2022 midterms. With the June 14 primaries now settled ...

We’ve been waiting months for last week’s primaries in Nevada because we feel, and have been stressing for a while now, that Nevada is likely the most important state in the 2022 midterms. With the June 14 primaries now settled ...

We’ve been waiting months for this week’s primaries in Nevada because we feel, and have been stressing for a while now, that Nevada is likely the most important state in the 2022 midterms. With the June 14 primaries now settled ...

We’ve been waiting months for this week’s primaries in Nevada because we feel, and have been stressing for a while now, that Nevada is likely the most important state in the 2022 midterms. With the June 14 primaries now settled ...

We’ve been waiting months for this week’s primaries in Nevada because we feel, and have been stressing for a while now, that Nevada is likely the most important state in the 2022 midterms. With the June 14 primaries now settled ...

We’ve been waiting months for this week’s primaries in Nevada because we feel, and have been stressing for a while now, that Nevada is likely the most important state in the 2022 midterms. With the June 14 primaries now settled ...

Politics Editor Lars Emerson is joined by The Postrider‘s Editor-in-Chief Michael Lovito and Jacob from Wild & Free: A Battle Born Podcast to discuss why Nevada is such an important state in the 2022 midterms, its governors race, Senate election, ...

You’ve never heard the name Tatnall Hillman – but he’s been donating millions of dollars to elections you’ve certainly heard about. “Notoriously reclusive… refuses to give interviews” is how Colorado Politics describes him. “Retired Navy reserve officer and industrial heir” ...

Over these two weeks starting February 21, we are profiling the five most vulnerable incumbent senators up in 2022. We began with New Hampshire’s Maggie Hassan, Wisconsin’s Ron Johnson, Arizona’s Mark Kelly, and Georgia’s Raphael Warnock. In this piece, the ...

In November of 2021, millionaire and former private equity executive Glenn Youngkin – who had never held public office before – won the Virginia gubernatorial election and provided a blueprint for Republicans looking to win statewide office in a Democratic-leaning ...

In the aftermath of the 2024 election, we offer a reflection on the modern media environment, what we try to bring to the table, and why grounded analysis from the team next door matters more than ever.

With a little under three weeks to Election Day, we have some factor updates and adjustments to add to our comprehensive election model.

Now that all of the states are live and the generic ballot has tightened, let's talk about what our model says about the election.

Nevada no longer clearly favors Democrats at the presidential level, but it is a shining example of how effort, issues, and relationships still matter.

We’ve put a lot of thought into Arizona and landed with this: any tiny shift could change the outcome.

If our headline caught you off guard, then strap in. We’ve got a lot to catch you up on! At the time we’re putting this out, the race for control of the Senate clearly favors Republicans. Working with 49 seats ...

Could one electoral vote really be that important?

The Tar Heel State has been something of a white whale for national Democrats this century. It's still Harris' lowest hanging fruit if she wants to expand the 2020 map.

How we combine quantitative and qualitative analysis to beat other election models, and how you can too.