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After many months of twists and turns, we’re almost at the end of the line – the generic ballot is back to about a one point lead for Democrats, giving Republicans a clear upper hand in the race for control ...

In The Postrider Roundup‘s inaugural episode, Michael Lovito and Lars Emerson discuss the impending elections for president, Senate, the House of Representatives, and a handful of governor’s mansions. They discuss what an odd last few weeks of the campaign it’s ...

The presidential and Senate races are coming down to the wire – the generic ballot is below a one point lead for Democrats, giving Republicans a clear upper hand in the race for control of both the White House and ...

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We're excited to announce the launch of the Postrider Podcasts feed, your all-in-one source for our latest shows, including our new biweekly politics podcast, The Postrider Roundup. Follow us on Spotify or Apple Podcasts to never miss a moment!

Like a phoenix rising from the ashes four years later, Running Mates is back to talk about the 2024 vice presidential picks!

With a little under three weeks to Election Day, we have some factor updates and adjustments to add to our comprehensive election model.

We’re breaking down two weeks in one post again today… Week 5 Week 6

Now that all of the states are live and the generic ballot has tightened, let's talk about what our model says about the election.

In 2019, I wrote a piece about Ohio Senator Sherrod Brown’s decision to not seek the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination. In the piece, I argue that Brown was uniquely well-suited to run the kind of campaign Democrats would have to ...

There was a time when it seemed like the Montana Senate race could have been the undercard in control for the Senate. Before West Virginia’s Democratic (now independent) Senator Joe Manchin announced he would not run for reelection this year, ...

Democrat Jacky Rosen has an almost unbelievable lead in polls, why?

Nevada no longer clearly favors Democrats at the presidential level, but it is a shining example of how effort, issues, and relationships still matter.

The Garden State could use some more polling!

We've incorporated probability and odds of winning on our models.

We’ve put a lot of thought into Arizona and landed with this: any tiny shift could change the outcome.