Archive
What Happens to Our 2024 Presidential Election Model Now?
Well, this is awkward. We’ve spent months of our time building out a model of the grand electoral rematch between Donald Trump and Joe Biden. Now that Biden has dropped out at the last minute, where does that leave us, ...
Is the Biden Campaign Really Relying on the Debunked 13 Keys to Make This Decision?
If Biden's stature is so weak that they are actually pointing to a debunked model to justify staying in, it should cause immediate concern.
Brother of Monday’s Peter Bothum on Delaware, Guided by Voices, and Recording on a 4-Track
We use the term “indie rock” pretty loosely on The Postrider, but every once and a while, we stumble upon something that’s truly independent, truly DIY, truly homemade. Brother of Monday’s sophomore album Humdinger is one of those rare records ...
Hit Man is the Most Baffling Movie of the Year
If, as Tony Soprano once said, “remember when is the lowest form of conversation,” then it’s cousin “they don’t make ‘em like they used to” might be the lowest form of criticism. It’s certainly a trope I’ve fallen victim to ...
Biden’s Path Forward: It’s Time to Address Age Head On
When in doubt, run to the truth.
My Musing on Game 5 of the 2024 NBA Finals
Letter: Allan Lichtman’s Response
On Wednesday, we published a piece concerning Allan Lichtman’s “13 Keys” model and the 2016 election. In the spirit of open discussion, we’ve decided to publish a response Professor Lichtman sent to us shortly after our piece was published: Thank ...
Allan Lichtman is Famous for Correctly Predicting the 2016 Election. The Problem? He Didn’t
The history professor is one of the few credited with predicting Trump's 2016 win. There's just one problem: he's rewritten history to obfuscate that his model only predicted the popular vote, which Trump lost.
You can read Professor Lichtman’s response here.
When Will the Rust Belt’s Electoral Supremacy End?
Recently, we dove into something of a political obsession of ours: the “crossover” between the Rust Belt and the Sun Belt – and tried to figure out at what point Democrats would have an easier time winning the Sun Belt ...
Is the Rust Belt Still the Lowest Hanging Fruit for Biden?
“The Rust Belt or bust” is the mantra of conventional political wisdom that just will not die out... does it still hold water?
Furiosa is a Deeper, Quieter Mad Max Film
If there’s one film from the 2010s that will live on in the canon for decades, if not centuries to come, it’s probably Mad Max: Fury Road, George Miller’s long-awaited return to the post-apocalyptic road war series he debuted with ...
My Musings on Game 2 of the 2024 NBA Finals
My Musings on Game 1 of the 2024 NBA Finals
A Tale of Two Tech Keynotes
Last week, the tech industry was flooded with hype and anticipation from two of the biggest companies in the AI space, Google and OpenAI. In November 2022, OpenAI released ChatGPT, a watershed moment for the new era of AI that ...
When Trump Might Name His Running Mate, and Why He Should Wait
Trump would be wise to wait until the week before the convention, just like most campaigns do.
Stampede: Vol 1. Finds Orville Peck in Major Label Limbo
If there’s one thing that the modern music economy has made obsolete, it’s the concept of “selling out.” Back in alternative rock’s 90s heyday, the biggest sin an artist could commit was signing to a major label, adopting a more ...
Baby Reindeer is a True Crime Series Written by the Victim
Two of the best performing articles I’ve ever written for The Postrider are my reviews of seasons one and two of The Curious Case of Natalia Grace, Investigation Discovery’s shoddy, shameful documentary series about an Indiana couple who may or ...
My Favorite Tweet Reactions to Kendrick Lamar’s “Euphoria”
On Tuesday at 8:24 AM, Kendrick Lamar released “Euphoria,” his latest diss track against Drake. Like many events in this day and age, social media became the accelerant for the diss and spread the impact of the song to all ...
Politics Express: Our 2024 Presidential Election Model
Our 2024 Presidential Election Model is live! The Postrider‘s Politics Editor and Editor-in-Chief unpack the basics, talk about their philosophy, why they’ve beaten the heavy-hitting models the last three cycles, and have some fun explaining how you can use the map too. ...
2024 Presidential Election Model
We're back and excited to cover this cycle. Use our tool to make your own assumptions and happy electioneering!
How Our 2024 Presidential Model Works—And How You Can Use It Too
A primer on the basics.
2024 Presidential Model: Comprehensive Methodology and Approach
How we combine quantitative and qualitative analysis to beat other election models, and how you can too.