Archive
Ohio is the Face of Democrats’ White Working Class Voter Problems
So much for “as goes Ohio, so goes the nation.”
Maine is Old, White, and Rural, but Ranked-Choice Voting Makes it Harris’ to Lose
Republican gains have been offset by an electoral system that favors moderates.
Suburbanites and Govvies Give Democrats an Advantage in Virginia
It's hard to imagine a world where Trump wins the Old Dominion unless he manifests a clear popular vote victory.
My Musings on the 2024 Olympics
Veepmaxxing for Electoral Advantage
How vice presidential candidates boost the margin in their home state and how tickets can maximize the electoral impact of this effect.
Deadpool & Wolverine Offers Closure that No One Was Asking For
If there’s one film franchise that I have an irrational amount of affection for, it’s probably 20th Century Fox’s X-Men. Most of that is a product of boyhood nostalgia – I was in sixth grade when X-Men: The Last Stand ...
Was This—Somehow—the Best Play?
Did Democrats somehow stumble into an enviable position in the 2024 election?
The 2024 (Emergency) Democratic Vice Presidential Power Index
Because who said The Postrider couldn't do rapid response?
How Our (Emergency) 2024 Democratic Vice Presidential Power Index Works
We’re about 100 days out from a presidential election, and the Democrats have to build almost an entirely new ticket from scratch. We didn’t think we’d be here either, but luckily we’re never ones to shy away from discussion of ...
Will AI Video Cannabalize the Entertainment Industry?
With tons of people speculating that the gold rush of generative AI tools might just be another hype-bubble similar to that of NFTs or the Metaverse, AI video generation models provide evidence to the contrary. AI video generators such as ...
We’ve Spent Years Defending Biden’s Reelection Bid. Here’s Why It Was Smart For Him to Drop Out.
Back in February, I wrote a piece titled “Democrats Do Not, In Fact, Have a Better Option Than Biden,” a fairly direct response to arguments made by Nate Silver and Ezra Klein that President Joe Biden should abandon his reelection ...
What Happens to Our 2024 Presidential Election Model Now?
Well, this is awkward. We’ve spent months of our time building out a model of the grand electoral rematch between Donald Trump and Joe Biden. Now that Biden has dropped out at the last minute, where does that leave us, ...
Is the Biden Campaign Really Relying on the Debunked 13 Keys to Make This Decision?
If Biden's stature is so weak that they are actually pointing to a debunked model to justify staying in, it should cause immediate concern.
Brother of Monday’s Peter Bothum on Delaware, Guided by Voices, and Recording on a 4-Track
We use the term “indie rock” pretty loosely on The Postrider, but every once and a while, we stumble upon something that’s truly independent, truly DIY, truly homemade. Brother of Monday’s sophomore album Humdinger is one of those rare records ...
Hit Man is the Most Baffling Movie of the Year
If, as Tony Soprano once said, “remember when is the lowest form of conversation,” then it’s cousin “they don’t make ‘em like they used to” might be the lowest form of criticism. It’s certainly a trope I’ve fallen victim to ...
Biden’s Path Forward: It’s Time to Address Age Head On
When in doubt, run to the truth.
My Musing on Game 5 of the 2024 NBA Finals
Letter: Allan Lichtman’s Response
On Wednesday, we published a piece concerning Allan Lichtman’s “13 Keys” model and the 2016 election. In the spirit of open discussion, we’ve decided to publish a response Professor Lichtman sent to us shortly after our piece was published: Thank ...
Allan Lichtman is Famous for Correctly Predicting the 2016 Election. The Problem? He Didn’t
The history professor is one of the few credited with predicting Trump's 2016 win. There's just one problem: he's rewritten history to obfuscate that his model only predicted the popular vote, which Trump lost.
You can read Professor Lichtman’s response here.
When Will the Rust Belt’s Electoral Supremacy End?
Recently, we dove into something of a political obsession of ours: the “crossover” between the Rust Belt and the Sun Belt – and tried to figure out at what point Democrats would have an easier time winning the Sun Belt ...
Is the Rust Belt Still the Lowest Hanging Fruit for Biden?
“The Rust Belt or bust” is the mantra of conventional political wisdom that just will not die out... does it still hold water?
Furiosa is a Deeper, Quieter Mad Max Film
If there’s one film from the 2010s that will live on in the canon for decades, if not centuries to come, it’s probably Mad Max: Fury Road, George Miller’s long-awaited return to the post-apocalyptic road war series he debuted with ...