Michael Lovito
editor@thepostrider.com
One Week Out: Some Factor Updates
The presidential and Senate races are coming down to the wire – the generic ballot is below a one point lead for Democrats, giving Republicans a clear upper hand in the race for control of both the White House and ...
The Postrider Roundup: Trailer
The Future of Postrider Podcasts
We're excited to announce the launch of the Postrider Podcasts feed, your all-in-one source for our latest shows, including our new biweekly politics podcast, The Postrider Roundup. Follow us on Spotify or Apple Podcasts to never miss a moment!
Running Mates: Episode 17 – 2024 – Vance v. Walz
Like a phoenix rising from the ashes four years later, Running Mates is back to talk about the 2024 vice presidential picks!
Three Weeks Out: Some Factor Updates
With a little under three weeks to Election Day, we have some factor updates and adjustments to add to our comprehensive election model.
Ohio Could Be Democrats’ Saving Grace in the Senate. Or It Could Be Sherrod Brown’s Last Stand.
In 2019, I wrote a piece about Ohio Senator Sherrod Brown’s decision to not seek the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination. In the piece, I argue that Brown was uniquely well-suited to run the kind of campaign Democrats would have to ...
New Jersey Isn’t a Swing State, But It Could Shift Toward Trump in 2024
The Garden State could use some more polling!
The Keystone State is Key to 2024
The three most common words you read and hear between now and Election Day will be “Pennsylvania,” “Pennsylvania,” and “Pennsylvania.”
In Michigan, Democrats Face One of Their Biggest Obstacles to Keeping the Senate: A Generic Republican
In 2022, one of the reasons why the Republicans struggled in so many competitive Senate races is that they simply did not run good candidates. Mehmet Oz of Pennsylvania, Blake Masters of Arizona, and Herschel Walker of Georgia all had ...
Scandal and Democratic Infighting Have Made New Jersey’s Senate Race Surprisingly Competitive
The prelude to the New Jersey race was dramatic, but the state hasn’t elected a Republican to the Senate since 1972. Does the GOP have an opening?
In Arizona, Republicans Had a Chance to Learn from Their 2022 Mistakes. Instead, They Nominated Kari Lake for the Senate
Arizona Republicans keep running bad candidates in otherwise winnable races, 2024 is no exception.
North Carolina Offers Harris Her Best Opportunity to Expand the Map
The Tar Heel State has been something of a white whale for national Democrats this century. It's still Harris' lowest hanging fruit if she wants to expand the 2020 map.
Larry Hogan Might Be Maryland Democrats’ Favorite Republican, but Even That Might Not Help Him Become a Senator
Maryland has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 1980. Could 2024 change that?
In Pennsylvania’s Senate Race, the GOP Finally Got Their Man. It May Not Be Enough Against Bob Casey.
It’s not very often that you get a do-over in electoral politics, but Republicans will be getting something close to that in Pennsylvania in 2024. In the state’s last Senate election, in 2022, the party went through an ugly primary ...
2024 Senate Election Model
We're back and excited to cover this Senate election. Use our tool to make your own assumptions and happy electioneering!
Republican Feuds, a Criminal Trial, and Shifting Demographics Keep Georgia in Play for Harris
Georgia epitomises how Democrats have expanded the map in the Trump era. That doesn't mean it's easy to win.
Michigan Presents Both Harris and Trump with Unique Risks and Opportunities
Demographic trends and a fraying coalition pose risks for Harris in Michigan, though Republican missteps provide an opening
Maine’s Second Congressional District is a Ruby Red Drop in a Sea of New England Blue
Trump will triumph in this rebellious district, but an underperformance could make for an interesting race for second place.
Minnesota Democrats Are Working with a High Floor. Will It Hold Up in 2024?
Harris has the advantage in Minnesota so long as she can stay above water nationally. In a cycle like this, that’s not a sure thing.
New Hampshire is New England’s Most Purple State, but It Seems to Be Getting Bluer
New Hampshire almost went for Trump in 2016, it swung decisively away from him four years later, where will it fall in 2024?
Ohio is the Face of Democrats’ White Working Class Voter Problems
So much for “as goes Ohio, so goes the nation.”
Maine is Old, White, and Rural, but Ranked-Choice Voting Makes it Harris’ to Lose
Republican gains have been offset by an electoral system that favors moderates.