Michael Lovito
editor@thepostrider.com
In Michigan, Democrats Face One of Their Biggest Obstacles to Keeping the Senate: A Generic Republican
In 2022, one of the reasons why the Republicans struggled in so many competitive Senate races is that they simply did not run good candidates. Mehmet Oz of Pennsylvania, Blake Masters of Arizona, and Herschel Walker of Georgia all had ...
Scandal and Democratic Infighting Have Made New Jersey’s Senate Race Surprisingly Competitive
The prelude to the New Jersey race was dramatic, but the state hasn’t elected a Republican to the Senate since 1972. Does the GOP have an opening?
In Arizona, Republicans Had a Chance to Learn from Their 2022 Mistakes. Instead, They Nominated Kari Lake for the Senate
Arizona Republicans keep running bad candidates in otherwise winnable races, 2024 is no exception.
North Carolina Offers Harris Her Best Opportunity to Expand the Map
The Tar Heel State has been something of a white whale for national Democrats this century. It's still Harris' lowest hanging fruit if she wants to expand the 2020 map.
Larry Hogan Might Be Maryland Democrats’ Favorite Republican, but Even That Might Not Help Him Become a Senator
Maryland has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 1980. Could 2024 change that?
In Pennsylvania’s Senate Race, the GOP Finally Got Their Man. It May Not Be Enough Against Bob Casey.
It’s not very often that you get a do-over in electoral politics, but Republicans will be getting something close to that in Pennsylvania in 2024. In the state’s last Senate election, in 2022, the party went through an ugly primary ...
2024 Senate Election Model
We're back and excited to cover this Senate election. Use our tool to make your own assumptions and happy electioneering!
Republican Feuds, a Criminal Trial, and Shifting Demographics Keep Georgia in Play for Harris
Georgia epitomises how Democrats have expanded the map in the Trump era. That doesn't mean it's easy to win.
Michigan Presents Both Harris and Trump with Unique Risks and Opportunities
Demographic trends and a fraying coalition pose risks for Harris in Michigan, though Republican missteps provide an opening
Maine’s Second Congressional District is a Ruby Red Drop in a Sea of New England Blue
Trump will triumph in this rebellious district, but an underperformance could make for an interesting race for second place.
Minnesota Democrats Are Working with a High Floor. Will It Hold Up in 2024?
Harris has the advantage in Minnesota so long as she can stay above water nationally. In a cycle like this, that’s not a sure thing.
New Hampshire is New England’s Most Purple State, but It Seems to Be Getting Bluer
New Hampshire almost went for Trump in 2016, it swung decisively away from him four years later, where will it fall in 2024?
Ohio is the Face of Democrats’ White Working Class Voter Problems
So much for “as goes Ohio, so goes the nation.”
Maine is Old, White, and Rural, but Ranked-Choice Voting Makes it Harris’ to Lose
Republican gains have been offset by an electoral system that favors moderates.
Suburbanites and Govvies Give Democrats an Advantage in Virginia
It's hard to imagine a world where Trump wins the Old Dominion unless he manifests a clear popular vote victory.
Deadpool & Wolverine Offers Closure that No One Was Asking For
If there’s one film franchise that I have an irrational amount of affection for, it’s probably 20th Century Fox’s X-Men. Most of that is a product of boyhood nostalgia – I was in sixth grade when X-Men: The Last Stand ...
We’ve Spent Years Defending Biden’s Reelection Bid. Here’s Why It Was Smart For Him to Drop Out.
Back in February, I wrote a piece titled “Democrats Do Not, In Fact, Have a Better Option Than Biden,” a fairly direct response to arguments made by Nate Silver and Ezra Klein that President Joe Biden should abandon his reelection ...
Brother of Monday’s Peter Bothum on Delaware, Guided by Voices, and Recording on a 4-Track
We use the term “indie rock” pretty loosely on The Postrider, but every once and a while, we stumble upon something that’s truly independent, truly DIY, truly homemade. Brother of Monday’s sophomore album Humdinger is one of those rare records ...
Hit Man is the Most Baffling Movie of the Year
If, as Tony Soprano once said, “remember when is the lowest form of conversation,” then it’s cousin “they don’t make ‘em like they used to” might be the lowest form of criticism. It’s certainly a trope I’ve fallen victim to ...
Letter: Allan Lichtman’s Response
On Wednesday, we published a piece concerning Allan Lichtman’s “13 Keys” model and the 2016 election. In the spirit of open discussion, we’ve decided to publish a response Professor Lichtman sent to us shortly after our piece was published: Thank ...
Allan Lichtman is Famous for Correctly Predicting the 2016 Election. The Problem? He Didn’t
The history professor is one of the few credited with predicting Trump's 2016 win. There's just one problem: he's rewritten history to obfuscate that his model only predicted the popular vote, which Trump lost.
You can read Professor Lichtman’s response here.
Furiosa is a Deeper, Quieter Mad Max Film
If there’s one film from the 2010s that will live on in the canon for decades, if not centuries to come, it’s probably Mad Max: Fury Road, George Miller’s long-awaited return to the post-apocalyptic road war series he debuted with ...