Category: Politics

Back in 2020, I wrote a personal essay for a grad school course about what was, essentially, my political coming of age. Reading it again just over four years later, it’s fascinating to see how much my political identity changed, ...

We know it’s been a while, but don’t say we didn’t warn you! Our presidential model flirted between Lean Trump and Toss-Up through the last couple weeks of the campaign. And our Senate model remained pretty consistent – Republicans were ...

Michael and Lars discuss the anticlimactic speaker election before diving into their 2024 year in review, where they discuss the best, worst, and schlubbiest of last year’s politics.

Way back in 2021, Politics Editor Lars Emerson and I launched Watching Mates, a podcast that discussed the films we thought best represented each post-war presidency. The final episode, about the then nascent Biden administration, dropped in February of 2022, ...

The Postrider‘s Lars Emerson and Michael Lovito discuss Trump’s controversial nominees, checking in on Pete Hegseth and digging into FBI nominee Kash Patel, then discuss Biden’s controversial pardon of his son and what meaning January 6 holds nearly four years ...

There might not be a hotter indie rock subgenre among the Zoomers than shoegaze. For whatever reason, the under 28 crowd is flocking to bands whaling away at ludicrously distorted guitars, abusing their whammy bars, and cloaking their vocals deep ...

The Postrider‘s Lars Emerson and Michael Lovito discuss Donald Trump’s picks for his second cabinet, breaking down who they’re cautiously optimistic about and who they’re scared/angry are even being considered at all.

Lichtman says that he made the decision to start predicting the electoral vote “on the fly,” and didn’t have time to update his October 2016 prediction paper. But Social Education told us the paper was submitted and edited after he publicly announced his prediction.

Thanks to the leisurely pace at which California counts their votes, it’s still a little too early to come to massive, sweeping conclusions about the 2024 election. But if there’s one trend that’s made itself clear, it’s that young people, ...

The Postrider‘s Lars Emerson and Michael Lovito debrief the 2024 election, its aftermath, and its consequences. They reflect on the media ecosystem’s coverage of the election and its results, the impact of Donald Trump in the grand scheme of American ...

In the aftermath of the 2024 election, we offer a reflection on the modern media environment, what we try to bring to the table, and why grounded analysis from the team next door matters more than ever.

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After many months of twists and turns, we’re almost at the end of the line – the generic ballot is back to about a one point lead for Democrats, giving Republicans a clear upper hand in the race for control ...

In The Postrider Roundup‘s inaugural episode, Michael Lovito and Lars Emerson discuss the impending elections for president, Senate, the House of Representatives, and a handful of governor’s mansions. They discuss what an odd last few weeks of the campaign it’s ...

The presidential and Senate races are coming down to the wire – the generic ballot is below a one point lead for Democrats, giving Republicans a clear upper hand in the race for control of both the White House and ...

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Like a phoenix rising from the ashes four years later, Running Mates is back to talk about the 2024 vice presidential picks!

With a little under three weeks to Election Day, we have some factor updates and adjustments to add to our comprehensive election model.

Now that all of the states are live and the generic ballot has tightened, let's talk about what our model says about the election.

In 2019, I wrote a piece about Ohio Senator Sherrod Brown’s decision to not seek the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination. In the piece, I argue that Brown was uniquely well-suited to run the kind of campaign Democrats would have to ...

There was a time when it seemed like the Montana Senate race could have been the undercard in control for the Senate. Before West Virginia’s Democratic (now independent) Senator Joe Manchin announced he would not run for reelection this year, ...

Democrat Jacky Rosen has an almost unbelievable lead in polls, why?