Category: Politics

Thanks to the leisurely pace at which California counts their votes, it’s still a little too early to come to massive, sweeping conclusions about the 2024 election. But if there’s one trend that’s made itself clear, it’s that young people, ...

The Postrider‘s Lars Emerson and Michael Lovito debrief the 2024 election, its aftermath, and its consequences. They reflect on the media ecosystem’s coverage of the election and its results, the impact of Donald Trump in the grand scheme of American ...

In the aftermath of the 2024 election, we offer a reflection on the modern media environment, what we try to bring to the table, and why grounded analysis from the team next door matters more than ever.

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After many months of twists and turns, we’re almost at the end of the line – the generic ballot is back to about a one point lead for Democrats, giving Republicans a clear upper hand in the race for control ...

In The Postrider Roundup‘s inaugural episode, Michael Lovito and Lars Emerson discuss the impending elections for president, Senate, the House of Representatives, and a handful of governor’s mansions. They discuss what an odd last few weeks of the campaign it’s ...

The presidential and Senate races are coming down to the wire – the generic ballot is below a one point lead for Democrats, giving Republicans a clear upper hand in the race for control of both the White House and ...

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Like a phoenix rising from the ashes four years later, Running Mates is back to talk about the 2024 vice presidential picks!

With a little under three weeks to Election Day, we have some factor updates and adjustments to add to our comprehensive election model.

Now that all of the states are live and the generic ballot has tightened, let's talk about what our model says about the election.

In 2019, I wrote a piece about Ohio Senator Sherrod Brown’s decision to not seek the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination. In the piece, I argue that Brown was uniquely well-suited to run the kind of campaign Democrats would have to ...

There was a time when it seemed like the Montana Senate race could have been the undercard in control for the Senate. Before West Virginia’s Democratic (now independent) Senator Joe Manchin announced he would not run for reelection this year, ...

Democrat Jacky Rosen has an almost unbelievable lead in polls, why?

Nevada no longer clearly favors Democrats at the presidential level, but it is a shining example of how effort, issues, and relationships still matter.

The Garden State could use some more polling!

We've incorporated probability and odds of winning on our models.

We’ve put a lot of thought into Arizona and landed with this: any tiny shift could change the outcome.

The three most common words you read and hear between now and Election Day will be “Pennsylvania,” “Pennsylvania,” and “Pennsylvania.”

In 2022, one of the reasons why the Republicans struggled in so many competitive Senate races is that they simply did not run good candidates. Mehmet Oz of Pennsylvania, Blake Masters of Arizona, and Herschel Walker of Georgia all had ...

If our headline caught you off guard, then strap in. We’ve got a lot to catch you up on! At the time we’re putting this out, the race for control of the Senate clearly favors Republicans. Working with 49 seats ...

The prelude to the New Jersey race was dramatic, but the state hasn’t elected a Republican to the Senate since 1972. Does the GOP have an opening?