Category: Politics
2024 Presidential Election Model
We're back and excited to cover this cycle. Use our tool to make your own assumptions and happy electioneering!
How Our 2024 Presidential Model Works—And How You Can Use It Too
A primer on the basics.
2024 Presidential Model: Comprehensive Methodology and Approach
How we combine quantitative and qualitative analysis to beat other election models, and how you can too.
Politics Express: 2024 Republican Primary Draft – Crowning the Winner
The Republican primary comes to an end not with a bang, but with a whimper, as all major candidates but former President Donald Trump have dropped out and he has accumulated the delegates necessary to receive the nomination. After it ...
What is the County Line, and Why Is Everyone in New Jersey Talking About It?
Lets face it: this has been a pretty boring primary season. Despite the best efforts of Dean Phillips, Nikki Haley, and a few political columnists, Donald Trump and Joe Biden easily won the nominations of their respective parties, passing the ...
Alaska and Maine’s Ranked-Choice Elections Could Have a Profound Impact on the 2024 Presidential Election
In 2020, Alaska voters approved a ballot initiative which converted their primary system into a nonpartisan blanket primary wherein the four candidates who received the most votes would go to the general election. There, the winner would be determined by ...
Donald Trump Should Deliver the Republican Response to the State of the Union
President Joe Biden’s 2024 State of the Union is set to be far more consequential than his 2023 address. The Biden administration, not to mention his campaign, are sure to try and seize on the March 7 speech as a ...
Romneyland: Part IV — The Right Man at the Right Time
How would President Romney have handled the pandemic and the 2020 election?
Romneyland: Part III — A United Tomorrow
Would President Romney pull off reelection in 2016?
Romneyland: Part II — America’s Comeback Team
Who would've been in President Romney's cabinet?
Romneyland: Part I — Believe in America
How could Mitt Romney have won the 2012 election?
Democrats Do Not, In Fact, Have a Better Option Than Biden
On Friday, New York Times opinion columnist Ezra Klein published an audio essay in which he praises the accomplishments of President Joe Biden while simultaneously arguing that he should end his 2024 reelection campaign. You can listen to (or read) ...
Politics Express: Redrawing the Dollar
The Postrider‘s Politics Editor Lars Emerson and Editor-in-Chief Michael Lovito present their own visions for how to redesign U.S. currency. Who would we put on coins? What denominations would we add or subtract? And how can America use its money ...
Politics Express: Trump, the Presumptive Nominee?
The Postrider‘s Politics Editor Lars Emerson and Editor-in-Chief Michael Lovito hop on to talk about whether Donald Trump should be considered the Republican Party’s presumptive nominee already, after just two primary contests; how he can power through to the general ...
Politics Express: The Best (and Worst) of Politics in 2023
The Postrider‘s Politics Editor Lars Emerson and Editor-in-Chief Michael Lovito are here to recap 2023 in our first episode of the new year — who were the most improved, weirdest, and most embarassing figures in 2023, and what moments stand ...
At This Point, You’d Rather Be Joe Biden Than Donald Trump
We told you before, we'll say it again: Biden was wise to run again.
Joe Manchin’s Retirement Leaves Control of the Senate to Just Two Races
2024 will be the largest election year in history. For the first time ever, nations consisting of over four billion people will participate in elections – including eight of the ten most populous countries and the three largest democracies: India, ...
Democrats Are Favored to Win Back the House of Representatives in 2024
2024 will be the largest election year in history. For the first time ever, nations consisting of over four billion people will participate in elections – including eight of the ten most populous countries and the three largest democracies: India, ...
Politics Express: 2024 Republican Primary Draft – Debates, Dropouts, and Iowa Incoming
It’s been a whirlwind of debates, mugshots, dropouts, and notable moments; with the Iowa caucuses in spitting distance, Lars, Michael, and Chris hop back in to check on their primary draft and talk about where the race is going! Check ...
The Winners and Losers of the 2023 Elections
Using midterm elections as a tool to predict the results of the next presidential election is never a good idea. Voter turnout is usually lower, local idiosyncrasies play a bigger role, and a lot can change in a mere two ...
Biden Will Not — and Should Not — Drop Harris From the Ticket
How many times do we have to beat this drum?
Politics Express: the 2024 GOP VP Power Index and the 2024 Veepstakes
Our 2024 Republican Vice Presidential Power Index is live, so Lars and Michael flip spots on the Politics Express podcast as Mike interviews Lars on the intricacies, strengths, shortfalls, and updates to the model from its 2020 Democrat-focused iteration. In ...