Tag: 2024 election
Feeling the Love (and Fighting the Election Blues) With Wishy
There might not be a hotter indie rock subgenre among the Zoomers than shoegaze. For whatever reason, the under 28 crowd is flocking to bands whaling away at ludicrously distorted guitars, abusing their whammy bars, and cloaking their vocals deep ...
The Postrider Roundup: Trump’s Second Cabinet
The Postrider‘s Lars Emerson and Michael Lovito discuss Donald Trump’s picks for his second cabinet, breaking down who they’re cautiously optimistic about and who they’re scared/angry are even being considered at all.
All the Young Dudes Gave Dems Bad News
Thanks to the leisurely pace at which California counts their votes, it’s still a little too early to come to massive, sweeping conclusions about the 2024 election. But if there’s one trend that’s made itself clear, it’s that young people, ...
The Postrider Roundup: After the 2024 Election
The Postrider‘s Lars Emerson and Michael Lovito debrief the 2024 election, its aftermath, and its consequences. They reflect on the media ecosystem’s coverage of the election and its results, the impact of Donald Trump in the grand scheme of American ...
Join Us On Election Night!
Join our Twitter space on Election Night, starting at 6:30 PM Eastern!
Our Final Factor Updates
After many months of twists and turns, we’re almost at the end of the line – the generic ballot is back to about a one point lead for Democrats, giving Republicans a clear upper hand in the race for control ...
The Postrider Roundup: 2024 Election Preview Extravaganza
In The Postrider Roundup‘s inaugural episode, Michael Lovito and Lars Emerson discuss the impending elections for president, Senate, the House of Representatives, and a handful of governor’s mansions. They discuss what an odd last few weeks of the campaign it’s ...
One Week Out: Some Factor Updates
The presidential and Senate races are coming down to the wire – the generic ballot is below a one point lead for Democrats, giving Republicans a clear upper hand in the race for control of both the White House and ...
Running Mates: Episode 17 – 2024 – Vance v. Walz
Like a phoenix rising from the ashes four years later, Running Mates is back to talk about the 2024 vice presidential picks!
Three Weeks Out: Some Factor Updates
With a little under three weeks to Election Day, we have some factor updates and adjustments to add to our comprehensive election model.
Our Full Election Model is Out: What It Says and How We Got Here
Now that all of the states are live and the generic ballot has tightened, let's talk about what our model says about the election.
Ohio Could Be Democrats’ Saving Grace in the Senate. Or It Could Be Sherrod Brown’s Last Stand.
In 2019, I wrote a piece about Ohio Senator Sherrod Brown’s decision to not seek the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination. In the piece, I argue that Brown was uniquely well-suited to run the kind of campaign Democrats would have to ...
Is This the End of the Road for Jon Tester?
There was a time when it seemed like the Montana Senate race could have been the undercard in control for the Senate. Before West Virginia’s Democratic (now independent) Senator Joe Manchin announced he would not run for reelection this year, ...
Nevada’s Senate Race Isn’t Quite as Competitive as 2022, But It’s Still Closer Than You Think
Democrat Jacky Rosen has an almost unbelievable lead in polls, why?
New Jersey Isn’t a Swing State, But It Could Shift Toward Trump in 2024
The Garden State could use some more polling!
Probability Updates for Our Models
We've incorporated probability and odds of winning on our models.
No Swing State Has Rebuked the GOP as Clearly as Arizona in the Trump Era. Will This Hold?
We’ve put a lot of thought into Arizona and landed with this: any tiny shift could change the outcome.
In Michigan, Democrats Face One of Their Biggest Obstacles to Keeping the Senate: A Generic Republican
In 2022, one of the reasons why the Republicans struggled in so many competitive Senate races is that they simply did not run good candidates. Mehmet Oz of Pennsylvania, Blake Masters of Arizona, and Herschel Walker of Georgia all had ...
Texas is Democrats’ Best Shot to Pick Up a Seat This Cycle. No, We’re Not Kidding.
If our headline caught you off guard, then strap in. We’ve got a lot to catch you up on! At the time we’re putting this out, the race for control of the Senate clearly favors Republicans. Working with 49 seats ...
Scandal and Democratic Infighting Have Made New Jersey’s Senate Race Surprisingly Competitive
The prelude to the New Jersey race was dramatic, but the state hasn’t elected a Republican to the Senate since 1972. Does the GOP have an opening?
In Arizona, Republicans Had a Chance to Learn from Their 2022 Mistakes. Instead, They Nominated Kari Lake for the Senate
Arizona Republicans keep running bad candidates in otherwise winnable races, 2024 is no exception.
One Electoral Vote in Nebraska Could Make or Break a Harris Victory
Could one electoral vote really be that important?