Tag: arizona

With a little under three weeks to Election Day, we have some factor updates and adjustments to add to our comprehensive election model.

We’ve put a lot of thought into Arizona and landed with this: any tiny shift could change the outcome.

Arizona Republicans keep running bad candidates in otherwise winnable races, 2024 is no exception.

Recently, we dove into something of a political obsession of ours: the “crossover” between the Rust Belt and the Sun Belt – and tried to figure out at what point Democrats would have an easier time winning the Sun Belt ...

“The Rust Belt or bust” is the mantra of conventional political wisdom that just will not die out... does it still hold water?

Though the presidential election will consume much of the attention, control of the Senate is very much at stake, and things don't look good for Democrats.

Many of America's great cities have yet to host a major party convention. In this piece, our Politics Editor suggests five cities that meet the political needs of the 21st century.

Another presidential cycle is looming. As always, a tiny portion of voters in a select few states will decide the president, and these “swing states” will dominate the candidates’ attention, and therefore national attention as well.  The idea that only ...

We're joined by Split Ticket Founding Partner and Contributing Author Armin Thomas to discuss the state of 2022's gubernatorial elections. What states are we watching? What races should you keep an eye on? And what can you ignore?

Two months and 35 ratings later and they’re all in. Our full ratings for 2022’s Senate election are live and here to light your way through every odd character or peculiar wrinkle in each pivotal (and not-so-pivotal) race this cycle.  ...

With their full suite of 2022 Senate ratings now live, The Postrider‘s Politics Editor Lars Emerson and Editor-in-Chief Michael Lovito hop on the podcast to discuss the national factors in the race for the chamber, what states listeners should be paying attention ...

There’s good news for Democrats in the Grand Canyon State where their incumbent (and favorite) senator, former astronaut Mark Kelly, is up for election to a full term after his special election victory a couple years ago.

Donald Trump won two-thirds of Mormon voters in the 2020 election. This was up from just shy of 60% in the 2016 election when third party candidate Evan McMullin sapped a large share of Latter-day Saints’ (LDS) votes away from ...

Over these two weeks starting February 21, we are profiling the five most vulnerable incumbent senators up in 2022. We began with New Hampshire’s Maggie Hassan and Wisconsin’s Ron Johnson. In this piece, the third most vulnerable: Arizona Democrat Mark ...

The Postrider‘s State & Science Editor Lars Emerson is joined by Editor-in-Chief Michael Lovito to discuss Gavin Newsom’s victory in the California recall election and President Biden’s declining approval rating. In their main segment, they explore the competitive 2022 Senate ...

We love covering Senate elections here at The Postrider, and after some narrow misses in our 2020 forecast (we stacked the odds against some candidates that won but were pretty accurate by being far more conservative than other outlets with ...