Tag: election prediction

Lichtman says that he made the decision to start predicting the electoral vote “on the fly,” and didn’t have time to update his October 2016 prediction paper. But Social Education told us the paper was submitted and edited after he publicly announced his prediction.

On Wednesday, we published a piece concerning Allan Lichtman’s “13 Keys” model and the 2016 election. In the spirit of open discussion, we’ve decided to publish a response Professor Lichtman sent to us shortly after our piece was published: Thank ...

The history professor is one of the few credited with predicting Trump's 2016 win. There's just one problem: he's rewritten history to obfuscate that his model only predicted the popular vote, which Trump lost.

You can read Professor Lichtman’s response here.