Tag: georgia
Our Final Factor Updates
After many months of twists and turns, we’re almost at the end of the line – the generic ballot is back to about a one point lead for Democrats, giving Republicans a clear upper hand in the race for control ...
One Week Out: Some Factor Updates
The presidential and Senate races are coming down to the wire – the generic ballot is below a one point lead for Democrats, giving Republicans a clear upper hand in the race for control of both the White House and ...
Three Weeks Out: Some Factor Updates
With a little under three weeks to Election Day, we have some factor updates and adjustments to add to our comprehensive election model.
Republican Feuds, a Criminal Trial, and Shifting Demographics Keep Georgia in Play for Harris
Georgia epitomises how Democrats have expanded the map in the Trump era. That doesn't mean it's easy to win.
There Are Only Six Swing States
Another presidential cycle is looming. As always, a tiny portion of voters in a select few states will decide the president, and these “swing states” will dominate the candidates’ attention, and therefore national attention as well. The idea that only ...
Evaluating Our 2022 Senate Ratings
Our Senate forecast outperformed FiveThirtyEight and The Economist -- but we can always do better!
What to Watch (and What We’re Watching) for Our Senate Ratings Before November
Two months and 35 ratings later and they’re all in. Our full ratings for 2022’s Senate election are live and here to light your way through every odd character or peculiar wrinkle in each pivotal (and not-so-pivotal) race this cycle. ...
Politics Express: The Full 2022 Senate Map
With their full suite of 2022 Senate ratings now live, The Postrider‘s Politics Editor Lars Emerson and Editor-in-Chief Michael Lovito hop on the podcast to discuss the national factors in the race for the chamber, what states listeners should be paying attention ...
Initial Rating: Georgia Senate Race
Not since Florida started a recount in 2000 has a state grasped the attention of the nation like Georgia did in 2020 and early 2021. This year will keep the Peach State in the spotlight.
Politics Express: 2022 Primary Recap
The Postrider‘s Politics Editor Lars Emerson and Editor-in-Chief Michael Lovito discuss 2022’s primaries for House, Senate, governor, and more. How did Trump’s endorsements do? Why did Democrats strategically boost some far-right candidates? And what major primaries remain that we’re watching? ...
Trump’s Rough Night in Georgia, Runoffs in Texas, and Five Other Primary Night Takeaways
The American political scene has been in primary mode since early March, but, once again, this past Tuesday saw major primary fights in both parties play out in five states. While it’s a folly to try and apply results in ...
Georgia’s Raphael Warnock is the Second Most Vulnerable Incumbent This Cycle – but His Race Will Also Illuminate Democrats’ Prospects This Decade
Over these two weeks starting February 21, we are profiling the five most vulnerable incumbent senators up in 2022. We began with New Hampshire’s Maggie Hassan, Wisconsin’s Ron Johnson, and Arizona’s Mark Kelly. In this piece, the second most vulnerable: ...
Politics Express: California Recall / Biden’s Approval / 2022 Senate Race
The Postrider‘s State & Science Editor Lars Emerson is joined by Editor-in-Chief Michael Lovito to discuss Gavin Newsom’s victory in the California recall election and President Biden’s declining approval rating. In their main segment, they explore the competitive 2022 Senate ...
An Early Look at the 2022 Senate Contest
We love covering Senate elections here at The Postrider, and after some narrow misses in our 2020 forecast (we stacked the odds against some candidates that won but were pretty accurate by being far more conservative than other outlets with ...