Tag: New Jersey
One Week Out: Some Factor Updates
The presidential and Senate races are coming down to the wire – the generic ballot is below a one point lead for Democrats, giving Republicans a clear upper hand in the race for control of both the White House and ...
Three Weeks Out: Some Factor Updates
With a little under three weeks to Election Day, we have some factor updates and adjustments to add to our comprehensive election model.
New Jersey Isn’t a Swing State, But It Could Shift Toward Trump in 2024
The Garden State could use some more polling!
Scandal and Democratic Infighting Have Made New Jersey’s Senate Race Surprisingly Competitive
The prelude to the New Jersey race was dramatic, but the state hasn’t elected a Republican to the Senate since 1972. Does the GOP have an opening?
What is the County Line, and Why Is Everyone in New Jersey Talking About It?
Lets face it: this has been a pretty boring primary season. Despite the best efforts of Dean Phillips, Nikki Haley, and a few political columnists, Donald Trump and Joe Biden easily won the nominations of their respective parties, passing the ...
The Winners and Losers of the 2023 Elections
Using midterm elections as a tool to predict the results of the next presidential election is never a good idea. Voter turnout is usually lower, local idiosyncrasies play a bigger role, and a lot can change in a mere two ...
Telemarketers Lights Up the Hidden, Darkened Corners of the Modern Economy
I am a fierce defender for and advocate of my home state of New Jersey. I’ve heard all the jokes and I have rebuttals for all of them. But take a ride on NJ Transit’s Morris and Essex line from ...
The Elections to Watch in 2023
The Kentucky governors race may be the most competitive this cycle, but there are a handful of big mayoral elections, two more governors, four state legislatures, and one key state supreme court election this year as well.
For Inflation’s Sake, It’s Time to Let New Jerseyans and Oregonians Pump Their Own Gas
New Jersey and Oregon are the only states in the nation that bar drivers from pumping their own gas. In New Jersey, it’s a local idiosyncracy that’s as ingrained in the state’s culture as Taylor ham (or pork roll… if ...