Tag: New York
One Week Out: Some Factor Updates
The presidential and Senate races are coming down to the wire – the generic ballot is below a one point lead for Democrats, giving Republicans a clear upper hand in the race for control of both the White House and ...
Democrats Are Favored to Win Back the House of Representatives in 2024
2024 will be the largest election year in history. For the first time ever, nations consisting of over four billion people will participate in elections – including eight of the ten most populous countries and the three largest democracies: India, ...
The Winners and Losers of the 2023 Elections
Using midterm elections as a tool to predict the results of the next presidential election is never a good idea. Voter turnout is usually lower, local idiosyncrasies play a bigger role, and a lot can change in a mere two ...
The Winners and Losers of the 2022 Midterms
With high inflation, elevated gas prices, and a Democratic president whose popularity is underwater, most observers went into election night expecting a red wave that would not only gum up President Joe Biden’s policy agenda, but also set the stage ...
Initial Rating: New York Senate Race
As late as last year, there was some chatter that Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who has emerged as the face of the Democratic Party’s left-wing, would challenge Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer in New York’s Democratic Senate primary.
Politics Express: Mayor-Elect Eric Adams and the New York Governor’s Race
Lars and Michael discuss the factors leading to Eric Adams election as New York City’s mayor and preview the state’s 2022 governor’s race.
Only Two States Haven’t Had a Cabinet Secretary… and Other Unusual Facts About the Cabinet
“So, how about that Cabinet, huh?” is how I imagine I’ll attempt small talk in my future retirement home. The president’s Cabinet consists of the 15 department heads, the vice president, and whichever other agency heads or other designees the ...
New York’s Primaries Didn’t Offer the Clean Conclusions You Were Hoping For
We have a tendency to think of elections as referendums — not just on the candidates running, but on the economy, other elected officials, and the prevailing political zeitgeist. The idea is that voters aren’t just selecting a leader or ...