Tag: ratings

When this seat was last contested in 2016, a handful of forecasters considered it a toss up or lean Republican at most.

Charles Booker v. Rand Paul Safe Republican In 2020, nobody’s profile was raised more by losing a primary than the progressive, Bernie Sanders- and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-endorsed Kentucky state Representative Charles Booker, who lost his state’s Democratic Senate primary by less ...

The Senate race in Utah is one of the most undercovered and most interesting this cycle. It’s got a little something for almost everyone.

Thomas McDermott Jr. v. Todd Young Safe Republican Look at a map of Indiana’s congressional districts and you’ll probably be surprised to see a little patch of blue, far away from Indianapolis, in the far Northwest corner of the state. ...

We were perhaps too generous to Iowa in our 2020 forecasts, rating both its Senate race and presidential race as toss-ups due to an array of competitive polls and an assumption that it would revert to the mean.

Mark Holland v. Jerry Moran Safe Republican As incumbent Republican Senator Jerry Moran vies for his third term, many readers may wonder whether the landslide defeat of the anti-abortion amendment on Kansas’ early-August primary ballot is a sign of Republican ...

David Roth v. Mike Crapo Safe Republican Among the least interesting Senate races this cycle is the one in Idaho. (What an intriguing lead that inspires you to continue reading, right?) Incumbent Republican Senator Mike Crapo is seeking his fifth ...

For a year we’ve said this would be the most competitive this cycle, and then gone farther to argue that the Nevada Senate race is actually the most important race in the entire 2022 election. That hasn’t changed.

Tiffany Smiley v. Patty Murray Safe Democrat Patty Murray has been in the Senate a long time – not quite as long as the Chuck Grassley and Patrick Leahy types; but pretty close – and at only 72 this October ...

Is there cautious optimism in the Buckeye State for Democrats? Or is Trump and Peter Thiel-aligned J.D. Vance, the author of Hillbilly Elegy, set to continue the state's pivot to the right?

Incumbent Democratic Senator Chris Van Hollen’s quest for a second term could have been more interesting.

How does The Postrider put together its Senate ratings? Following the release of our 2022 ratings, Politics Editor Lars Emerson and Editor-in-Chief Michael Lovito are here to discuss how they research states, how they assign a rating, what they feel ...

There’s good news for Democrats in the Grand Canyon State where their incumbent (and favorite) senator, former astronaut Mark Kelly, is up for election to a full term after his special election victory a couple years ago.

Katrina Christiansen v. John Hoeven Safe Republican It wasn’t that long ago – 2010, in fact – when North Dakota had two Democratic senators (and a Democratic Congressman to boot) despite having not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since ...

Kathy Salvi v. Tammy Duckworth Safe Democrat Up for the first time since she defeated incumbent Republican Senator Mark Kirk in 2016, Democrat Tammy Duckworth has had quite a stint in office. A veteran who lost both legs as a ...

Has it already been two years? Happy midterms, everyone! We’re back at it this year with our 2022 Senate Ratings and are excited to cover, rate, and analyze the upcoming Senate elections as always.

The Colorado Democratic Party is asking for it. They’ve spent this year attempting some irresponsible, undemocratic, and ultimately fruitless election chicanery.

As late as last year, there was some chatter that Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who has emerged as the face of the Democratic Party’s left-wing, would challenge Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer in New York’s Democratic Senate primary.

In 2020, we rated Alabama's Senate election, which pit incumbent Democrat Doug Jones against former Auburn football coach Tommy Tuberville, as “likely R” because of Jones’ possible incumbent advantage and the peculiarities of college football loyalty.

Last cycle, we profiled the Arkansas Senate race between Republican incumbent Tom Cotton and Libertarian candidate Ricky Harrington Jr. – a blowout in favor of Cotton thanks to the fact the Democratic nominee, John Mahony, dropped out after the filing deadline and could not be replaced.

Oftentimes when a governor appoints a senator due to a vacancy, it can lead to a fierce primary fight within the incumbent party or the elevation of a weak candidate that can lead to some strange results, like a Democrat winning in Alabama or a Republican winning in Massachusetts.

Incumbent Republican Senator from South Carolina Tim Scott has been having a moment the last couple of years.