2024 Senate Election Model
As our revamped and persistently updated presidential election ratings may have given away, it’s a big election year. Though the 2024 presidential election will dominate headlines and the attention of most voters, there is a competitive race for control of the Senate underway as well. Senate elections have been something of our bread and butter since we started the site six years ago so, as we do every two years, The Postrider is back to cover, rate, and analyze this year’s Senate elections.
Beyond our traditional ratings and analysis, we added a ton of features so you can visualize what factored into our conclusions, see factors interact across the map, and even use our tool to make your own assumptions. Happy electioneering!
Editor’s Note: the 2024 election is over, what is displayed here is the last version of the model before Election Day, 2024. Overall, our model performed quite well, missing only one state each in the presidential and Senate elections. You can read our retrospective assessment of our model that begins to look into how we can further improve here. To see how the model would’ve run the election with an R+1.8 generic ballot (the actual result), click here.