Our Senate forecast outperformed FiveThirtyEight and The Economist -- but we can always do better!

You’ve heard the news – the death of the first-in-the-nation Iowa caucus is upon us! Well, maybe. There’s at least some movement, as it looks like the Democratic Party is moving towards replacing Iowa with a more representative state like ...

With high inflation, elevated gas prices, and a Democratic president whose popularity is underwater, most observers went into election night expecting a red wave that would not only gum up President Joe Biden’s policy agenda, but also set the stage ...

In our initial rating of the Badger State’s Senate race, we gave the Democratic nominee -- Mandela Barnes -- the benefit of the doubt because the polls, which he often led in, pointed to a close race. That is no longer justifiable.

Two months and 35 ratings later and they’re all in. Our full ratings for 2022’s Senate election are live and here to light your way through every odd character or peculiar wrinkle in each pivotal (and not-so-pivotal) race this cycle.  ...

There’s something tedious about covering politics in the Tar Heel State. As with Florida, it always feels close – but never quite manages to flip.

After years of Florida letting Democrats down, is there really any hope for them in the Sunshine State?

Is there cautious optimism in the Buckeye State for Democrats? Or is Trump and Peter Thiel-aligned J.D. Vance, the author of Hillbilly Elegy, set to continue the state's pivot to the right?

There’s good news for Democrats in the Grand Canyon State where their incumbent (and favorite) senator, former astronaut Mark Kelly, is up for election to a full term after his special election victory a couple years ago.

In May, I provided my takeaways on the highest profile primaries of the month. If anything, June was an even busier month, featuring not only primaries but a handful of special elections that provided heartening results for both parties. We ...

Donald Trump won two-thirds of Mormon voters in the 2020 election. This was up from just shy of 60% in the 2016 election when third party candidate Evan McMullin sapped a large share of Latter-day Saints’ (LDS) votes away from ...

The story of Las Vegas is one of survival, renewal, and the American spirit. In fact, in many ways, the story of Las Vegas is the story of America told in its most extreme. Luck becomes loss; industry becomes service; ...

The story of Las Vegas is one of survival, renewal, and the American spirit. In fact, in many ways, the story of Las Vegas is the most extreme version of America’s story. Luck becomes loss; industry becomes service; hope presages ...

Whether or not you agree with every one of its components, the Constitution provides a backbone to the entire existence of the United States. It is the holiest of rules we agree to disagree on and helps us build consensus ...

It was a gorgeous February afternoon in downtown Las Vegas – 73 degrees with the sun beaming down on the Arts Districts hipsters as they enjoyed their not-quite-five-o’clock craft beers. But, as with all stories that start this way, when ...

Over these two weeks starting February 21, we are profiling the five most vulnerable incumbent senators up in 2022. We began with New Hampshire’s Maggie Hassan, Wisconsin’s Ron Johnson, and Arizona’s Mark Kelly. In this piece, the second most vulnerable: ...

As of February 17, 2022, only a few remaining states still have mask mandates in any form. The Omicron variant is waning, the public is exhausted, and state governments were anxious to return to some semblance of normal post-pandemic life. ...

“So, how about that Cabinet, huh?” is how I imagine I’ll attempt small talk in my future retirement home. The president’s Cabinet consists of the 15 department heads, the vice president, and whichever other agency heads or other designees the ...

This is the sixth and final piece in our series of six features on the Midwestern Democratic decline where we explored consequential parts of the Midwest and the prevailing headwinds faced by the Democratic Party in the region. We’ll use ...

This is the fourth piece in our series of six features on the Midwestern Democratic decline where we’ll be diving into consequential parts of the Midwest and the prevailing headwinds faced by the Democratic Party in the region. We’ll use ...

This is the third piece in our series of six features on the Midwestern Democratic decline where we’ll be diving into consequential parts of the Midwest and the prevailing headwinds faced by the Democratic Party in the region. We’ll use ...

This is the second piece in our series of six features on the Midwestern Democratic decline where we’ll be diving into consequential parts of the Midwest and the prevailing headwinds faced by the Democratic Party in the region. We’ll use ...