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Lars Emerson
contact@thepostrider.comGeorge Clooney’s Political Ad
This is a departure from our usual style of programming. It’s a report of something George Clooney said on Saturday afternoon at History Talks 2022 at the Daughters of the American Revolution’s Constitution Hall. In a conversation between Clooney – ...
Politics Express: The Full 2022 Senate Map
With their full suite of 2022 Senate ratings now live, The Postrider‘s Politics Editor Lars Emerson and Editor-in-Chief Michael Lovito hop on the podcast to discuss the national factors in the race for the chamber, what states listeners should be paying attention ...
Initial Rating: Wisconsin Senate Race
It's fitting that the Badger State is the penultimate of our Senate Ratings, as it has been the most important state electorally over the last decade. Even despite a hypocritical and controversial GOP incumbent, Republicans have the advantage.
Politics Express: An Insider’s Look at Political Outreach and Advertising
Politics Editor Lars Emerson and The Postrider‘s Editor-in-Chief Michael Lovito are joined by Faith Rokowski from Blueprint Interactive, a Democratic digital strategy firm in DC, to discuss the state of political fundraising, campaign advertising, and digital best practices in the modern ...
Initial Rating: Louisiana Senate Race
Louisiana is always a weird one for election handicappers because its elections are often handled in a couple stages: a primary in which all candidates of all parties compete on the same ballot and then, should none of them get over 50% of the vote outright, a runoff election between the top-two finishers.
Initial Rating: North Carolina Senate Race
There’s something tedious about covering politics in the Tar Heel State. As with Florida, it always feels close – but never quite manages to flip.
Initial Rating: Florida Senate Race
After years of Florida letting Democrats down, is there really any hope for them in the Sunshine State?
Initial Rating: Connecticut Senate Race
Leora Levy v. Richard Blumenthal Safe Democrat When Richard Blumenthal, now a two-term Democratic incumbent, first won his seat, it was 2010, and Republicans were obliterating Democratic candidates up and down the ballot. Up against businesswoman Linda McMahon (the wife ...
Initial Rating: Oregon Senate Race
Jo Rae Perkins v. Ron Wyden Safe Democrat Oregon holds a lot of potential for Republicans. It’s a large western state with lots of white voters and most of the state (geographically speaking) is deep red. But, as Colorado and ...
Pony Express: The Rehearsal Part II
Louis, Lars, and Michael discuss the fascinating and controversial conclusion to The Rehearsal, and wonder what’s next for the mad genius that is Nathan Fielder
Initial Rating: Utah Senate Race
The Senate race in Utah is one of the most undercovered and most interesting this cycle. It’s got a little something for almost everyone.
Initial Rating: Iowa Senate Race
We were perhaps too generous to Iowa in our 2020 forecasts, rating both its Senate race and presidential race as toss-ups due to an array of competitive polls and an assumption that it would revert to the mean.
Initial Rating: Kansas Senate Race
Mark Holland v. Jerry Moran Safe Republican As incumbent Republican Senator Jerry Moran vies for his third term, many readers may wonder whether the landslide defeat of the anti-abortion amendment on Kansas’ early-August primary ballot is a sign of Republican ...
Initial Rating: Idaho Senate Race
David Roth v. Mike Crapo Safe Republican Among the least interesting Senate races this cycle is the one in Idaho. (What an intriguing lead that inspires you to continue reading, right?) Incumbent Republican Senator Mike Crapo is seeking his fifth ...
Politics Express: Bills, Bills, Bills / Search of Mar-a-Lago
Politics Editor Lars Emerson and The Postrider‘s Editor-in-Chief Michael Lovito discuss and analyze the FBI search of Donald Trump’s de facto headquarters at Mar-a-Lago; including why this is — contrary to prevailing wisdom, evidently — not going to help his political ...
Initial Rating: Nevada Senate Race
For a year we’ve said this would be the most competitive this cycle, and then gone farther to argue that the Nevada Senate race is actually the most important race in the entire 2022 election. That hasn’t changed.
Initial Rating: Washington Senate Race
Tiffany Smiley v. Patty Murray Safe Democrat Patty Murray has been in the Senate a long time – not quite as long as the Chuck Grassley and Patrick Leahy types; but pretty close – and at only 72 this October ...
Initial Rating: Maryland Senate Race
Incumbent Democratic Senator Chris Van Hollen’s quest for a second term could have been more interesting.
Politics Express: How We Put Together Our Senate Ratings
How does The Postrider put together its Senate ratings? Following the release of our 2022 ratings, Politics Editor Lars Emerson and Editor-in-Chief Michael Lovito are here to discuss how they research states, how they assign a rating, what they feel ...
Initial Rating: Arizona Senate Race
There’s good news for Democrats in the Grand Canyon State where their incumbent (and favorite) senator, former astronaut Mark Kelly, is up for election to a full term after his special election victory a couple years ago.
Initial Rating: Illinois Senate Race
Kathy Salvi v. Tammy Duckworth Safe Democrat Up for the first time since she defeated incumbent Republican Senator Mark Kirk in 2016, Democrat Tammy Duckworth has had quite a stint in office. A veteran who lost both legs as a ...
The Postrider’s 2022 Senate Ratings
Has it already been two years? Happy midterms, everyone! We’re back at it this year with our 2022 Senate Ratings and are excited to cover, rate, and analyze the upcoming Senate elections as always.