Tag: Florida
One Week Out: Some Factor Updates
The presidential and Senate races are coming down to the wire – the generic ballot is below a one point lead for Democrats, giving Republicans a clear upper hand in the race for control of both the White House and ...
Rick Scott is Famous for Eking Out Wins—2024 Could Be Different
For one, Rick Scott's last narrow margin was in a cycle that clearly favored Democrats. 2024 ain't that.
A Clash of Factors Bely an Increasingly Republican Florida
The Sunshine State generates a lot of noise, let's distinguish between what matters and what doesn’t.
The Case Against Ron DeSantis
Besides a former president, no other name dominates the 2024 GOP primary chatter more than Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. But his candidacy (and chance of being president) is incredibly inflated -- here's why.
There Are Only Six Swing States
Another presidential cycle is looming. As always, a tiny portion of voters in a select few states will decide the president, and these “swing states” will dominate the candidates’ attention, and therefore national attention as well. The idea that only ...
Evaluating Our 2022 Senate Ratings
Our Senate forecast outperformed FiveThirtyEight and The Economist -- but we can always do better!
What to Watch (and What We’re Watching) for Our Senate Ratings Before November
Two months and 35 ratings later and they’re all in. Our full ratings for 2022’s Senate election are live and here to light your way through every odd character or peculiar wrinkle in each pivotal (and not-so-pivotal) race this cycle. ...
Initial Rating: Florida Senate Race
After years of Florida letting Democrats down, is there really any hope for them in the Sunshine State?
Politics Express: “Don’t Say Gay” and Disney
Politics Editor Lars Emerson and Editor-in-Chief Michael Lovito are joined by the hosts of the With A Gay Twist podcast, Mason Dixon and Zachary Pen, to discuss the recent signing of the “Don’t Say Gay” bill in Florida. In a ...
Politics Express: California Recall / Biden’s Approval / 2022 Senate Race
The Postrider‘s State & Science Editor Lars Emerson is joined by Editor-in-Chief Michael Lovito to discuss Gavin Newsom’s victory in the California recall election and President Biden’s declining approval rating. In their main segment, they explore the competitive 2022 Senate ...