Tag: nevada
Three Weeks Out: Some Factor Updates
With a little under three weeks to Election Day, we have some factor updates and adjustments to add to our comprehensive election model.
Nevada’s Senate Race Isn’t Quite as Competitive as 2022, But It’s Still Closer Than You Think
Democrat Jacky Rosen has an almost unbelievable lead in polls, why?
The Smallest Swing State is Also the Most Complicated
Nevada no longer clearly favors Democrats at the presidential level, but it is a shining example of how effort, issues, and relationships still matter.
The Senate Races to Watch in 2024
Though the presidential election will consume much of the attention, control of the Senate is very much at stake, and things don't look good for Democrats.
Who Should Host the Party Conventions in 2028? Here Are Five Novel Ideas
Many of America's great cities have yet to host a major party convention. In this piece, our Politics Editor suggests five cities that meet the political needs of the 21st century.
There Are Only Six Swing States
Another presidential cycle is looming. As always, a tiny portion of voters in a select few states will decide the president, and these “swing states” will dominate the candidates’ attention, and therefore national attention as well. The idea that only ...
A Proposal for a Fair Presidential Primary System
The presidential primary process is in desperate need of reform. Here is our proposal to balance the strengths of the modern system with fairness to all states and regions with a splash of theatrics.
Evaluating Our 2022 Senate Ratings
Our Senate forecast outperformed FiveThirtyEight and The Economist -- but we can always do better!
South Carolina is Better at Picking the Nominee Than Other Early States
You’ve heard the news – the death of the first-in-the-nation Iowa caucus is upon us! Well, maybe. There’s at least some movement, as it looks like the Democratic Party is moving towards replacing Iowa with a more representative state like ...
It All Came Down to Nevada
We’ll have lots to say in the weeks to come about the incredibly strange midterm that continues to unfold. But with Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto’s successful reelection in Nevada, we can confidently say that control of the Senate will remain ...
Politics Express: 2022’s Gubernatorial Races
We're joined by Split Ticket Founding Partner and Contributing Author Armin Thomas to discuss the state of 2022's gubernatorial elections. What states are we watching? What races should you keep an eye on? And what can you ignore?
What to Watch (and What We’re Watching) for Our Senate Ratings Before November
Two months and 35 ratings later and they’re all in. Our full ratings for 2022’s Senate election are live and here to light your way through every odd character or peculiar wrinkle in each pivotal (and not-so-pivotal) race this cycle. ...
Politics Express: The Full 2022 Senate Map
With their full suite of 2022 Senate ratings now live, The Postrider‘s Politics Editor Lars Emerson and Editor-in-Chief Michael Lovito hop on the podcast to discuss the national factors in the race for the chamber, what states listeners should be paying attention ...
Initial Rating: Nevada Senate Race
For a year we’ve said this would be the most competitive this cycle, and then gone farther to argue that the Nevada Senate race is actually the most important race in the entire 2022 election. That hasn’t changed.
Nevada and the 21st Century Democratic Party
We’ve been waiting months for last month’s primaries in Nevada because we feel, and have been stressing for a while now, that Nevada is likely the most important state in the 2022 midterms. With the June 14 primaries now settled ...
Moderate Republicans in Nevada Tend to Win. Unfortunately, There Aren’t Many Running Anymore
We’ve been waiting months for last week’s primaries in Nevada because we feel, and have been stressing for a while now, that Nevada is likely the most important state in the 2022 midterms. With the June 14 primaries now settled ...
Nevada’s Future Executive Suite Could Test Democracy
We’ve been waiting months for this week’s primaries in Nevada because we feel, and have been stressing for a while now, that Nevada is likely the most important state in the 2022 midterms. With the June 14 primaries now settled ...
Nevada’s Governor’s Race: A New Sheriff in Town?
We’ve been waiting months for this week’s primaries in Nevada because we feel, and have been stressing for a while now, that Nevada is likely the most important state in the 2022 midterms. With the June 14 primaries now settled ...
Nevada’s Congressional Gamble Will Hurt Democrats This Cycle
We’ve been waiting months for this week’s primaries in Nevada because we feel, and have been stressing for a while now, that Nevada is likely the most important state in the 2022 midterms. With the June 14 primaries now settled ...
Nevada’s Senate Race Remains the Most Competitive this Cycle
We’ve been waiting months for this week’s primaries in Nevada because we feel, and have been stressing for a while now, that Nevada is likely the most important state in the 2022 midterms. With the June 14 primaries now settled ...
Democrats Ignore Mormon Voters at Their Peril
Donald Trump won two-thirds of Mormon voters in the 2020 election. This was up from just shy of 60% in the 2016 election when third party candidate Evan McMullin sapped a large share of Latter-day Saints’ (LDS) votes away from ...
Politics Express: Nevada’s 2022 Elections
Politics Editor Lars Emerson is joined by The Postrider‘s Editor-in-Chief Michael Lovito and Jacob from Wild & Free: A Battle Born Podcast to discuss why Nevada is such an important state in the 2022 midterms, its governors race, Senate election, ...