Tag: North Carolina

After many months of twists and turns, we’re almost at the end of the line – the generic ballot is back to about a one point lead for Democrats, giving Republicans a clear upper hand in the race for control ...

With a little under three weeks to Election Day, we have some factor updates and adjustments to add to our comprehensive election model.

The Tar Heel State has been something of a white whale for national Democrats this century. It's still Harris' lowest hanging fruit if she wants to expand the 2020 map.

Recently, we dove into something of a political obsession of ours: the “crossover” between the Rust Belt and the Sun Belt – and tried to figure out at what point Democrats would have an easier time winning the Sun Belt ...

“The Rust Belt or bust” is the mantra of conventional political wisdom that just will not die out... does it still hold water?

2024 will be the largest election year in history. For the first time ever, nations consisting of over four billion people will participate in elections – including eight of the ten most populous countries and the three largest democracies: India, ...

Another presidential cycle is looming. As always, a tiny portion of voters in a select few states will decide the president, and these “swing states” will dominate the candidates’ attention, and therefore national attention as well.  The idea that only ...

Our Senate forecast outperformed FiveThirtyEight and The Economist -- but we can always do better!

Two months and 35 ratings later and they’re all in. Our full ratings for 2022’s Senate election are live and here to light your way through every odd character or peculiar wrinkle in each pivotal (and not-so-pivotal) race this cycle.  ...

There’s something tedious about covering politics in the Tar Heel State. As with Florida, it always feels close – but never quite manages to flip.

The American political scene has been in primary mode since early March, but this past Tuesday saw major primary fights in both parties play out in five states. While it’s a folly to try and apply results in a bunch ...

The Postrider‘s State & Science Editor Lars Emerson is joined by Editor-in-Chief Michael Lovito to discuss Gavin Newsom’s victory in the California recall election and President Biden’s declining approval rating. In their main segment, they explore the competitive 2022 Senate ...