Tag: pennsylvania
One Week Out: Some Factor Updates
The presidential and Senate races are coming down to the wire – the generic ballot is below a one point lead for Democrats, giving Republicans a clear upper hand in the race for control of both the White House and ...
The Keystone State is Key to 2024
The three most common words you read and hear between now and Election Day will be “Pennsylvania,” “Pennsylvania,” and “Pennsylvania.”
In Pennsylvania’s Senate Race, the GOP Finally Got Their Man. It May Not Be Enough Against Bob Casey.
It’s not very often that you get a do-over in electoral politics, but Republicans will be getting something close to that in Pennsylvania in 2024. In the state’s last Senate election, in 2022, the party went through an ugly primary ...
When Will the Rust Belt’s Electoral Supremacy End?
Recently, we dove into something of a political obsession of ours: the “crossover” between the Rust Belt and the Sun Belt – and tried to figure out at what point Democrats would have an easier time winning the Sun Belt ...
Is the Rust Belt Still the Lowest Hanging Fruit for Biden?
“The Rust Belt or bust” is the mantra of conventional political wisdom that just will not die out... does it still hold water?
There Are Only Six Swing States
Another presidential cycle is looming. As always, a tiny portion of voters in a select few states will decide the president, and these “swing states” will dominate the candidates’ attention, and therefore national attention as well. The idea that only ...
Ratings Change: Pennsylvania Senate Race
When we made our initial rating for Pennsylvania’s Senate race, Democrat John Fetterman had yet to trail in a poll and the NRSC was pulling ad buys out of the Philadelphia market. Now, the race has edged towards a true toss-up.
What to Watch (and What We’re Watching) for Our Senate Ratings Before November
Two months and 35 ratings later and they’re all in. Our full ratings for 2022’s Senate election are live and here to light your way through every odd character or peculiar wrinkle in each pivotal (and not-so-pivotal) race this cycle. ...
Politics Express: The Full 2022 Senate Map
With their full suite of 2022 Senate ratings now live, The Postrider‘s Politics Editor Lars Emerson and Editor-in-Chief Michael Lovito hop on the podcast to discuss the national factors in the race for the chamber, what states listeners should be paying attention ...
Initial Rating: Pennsylvania Senate Race
One of the highest profile races this cycle is the Keystone State's epic showdown between Democratic Lieutanant Governor John Fetterman and TV doctor and New Jerseyan Mehmet Oz.
Politics Express: 2022 Primary Recap
The Postrider‘s Politics Editor Lars Emerson and Editor-in-Chief Michael Lovito discuss 2022’s primaries for House, Senate, governor, and more. How did Trump’s endorsements do? Why did Democrats strategically boost some far-right candidates? And what major primaries remain that we’re watching? ...
Five Takeaways from a Busy Primary Tuesday
The American political scene has been in primary mode since early March, but this past Tuesday saw major primary fights in both parties play out in five states. While it’s a folly to try and apply results in a bunch ...
Politics Express: California Recall / Biden’s Approval / 2022 Senate Race
The Postrider‘s State & Science Editor Lars Emerson is joined by Editor-in-Chief Michael Lovito to discuss Gavin Newsom’s victory in the California recall election and President Biden’s declining approval rating. In their main segment, they explore the competitive 2022 Senate ...
The Midwestern Reality: Pennsylvania, the Bisected Keystone
This is the fourth piece in our series of six features on the Midwestern Democratic decline where we’ll be diving into consequential parts of the Midwest and the prevailing headwinds faced by the Democratic Party in the region. We’ll use ...
Democrats Are Ignoring the Midwestern Reality
This is the first and introductory piece in our series of six features on the Midwestern Democratic decline where we’ll be diving into consequential parts of the Midwest and the prevailing headwinds faced by the Democratic Party in the region. ...