Tag: wisconsin

With a little under three weeks to Election Day, we have some factor updates and adjustments to add to our comprehensive election model.

Republicans seem to do better in Wisconsin when turnout increases, this creates risk for Tammy Baldwin

In a high turnout presidential election, expect Wisconsin to be close

Recently, we dove into something of a political obsession of ours: the “crossover” between the Rust Belt and the Sun Belt – and tried to figure out at what point Democrats would have an easier time winning the Sun Belt ...

“The Rust Belt or bust” is the mantra of conventional political wisdom that just will not die out... does it still hold water?

We told you before, we'll say it again: Biden was wise to run again.

Though the presidential election will consume much of the attention, control of the Senate is very much at stake, and things don't look good for Democrats.

The major political party's conventions in 2024 are underwhelming. One is located in the most popular convention city... the other in the city the other party used four years prior. Does this matter?

Another presidential cycle is looming. As always, a tiny portion of voters in a select few states will decide the president, and these “swing states” will dominate the candidates’ attention, and therefore national attention as well.  The idea that only ...

The Kentucky governors race may be the most competitive this cycle, but there are a handful of big mayoral elections, two more governors, four state legislatures, and one key state supreme court election this year as well.

In our initial rating of the Badger State’s Senate race, we gave the Democratic nominee -- Mandela Barnes -- the benefit of the doubt because the polls, which he often led in, pointed to a close race. That is no longer justifiable.

We're joined by Split Ticket Founding Partner and Contributing Author Armin Thomas to discuss the state of 2022's gubernatorial elections. What states are we watching? What races should you keep an eye on? And what can you ignore?

Two months and 35 ratings later and they’re all in. Our full ratings for 2022’s Senate election are live and here to light your way through every odd character or peculiar wrinkle in each pivotal (and not-so-pivotal) race this cycle.  ...

With their full suite of 2022 Senate ratings now live, The Postrider‘s Politics Editor Lars Emerson and Editor-in-Chief Michael Lovito hop on the podcast to discuss the national factors in the race for the chamber, what states listeners should be paying attention ...

It's fitting that the Badger State is the penultimate of our Senate Ratings, as it has been the most important state electorally over the last decade. Even despite a hypocritical and controversial GOP incumbent, Republicans have the advantage.

Starting with New Hampshire’s Maggie Hassan, over these two weeks starting February 21, we are profiling the five most vulnerable incumbent senators up in 2022. In this piece, the fourth most vulnerable: Wisconsin Republican Ron Johnson. In 2010, Ron Johnson ...

The Postrider‘s State & Science Editor Lars Emerson is joined by Editor-in-Chief Michael Lovito to discuss Gavin Newsom’s victory in the California recall election and President Biden’s declining approval rating. In their main segment, they explore the competitive 2022 Senate ...

This is the sixth and final piece in our series of six features on the Midwestern Democratic decline where we explored consequential parts of the Midwest and the prevailing headwinds faced by the Democratic Party in the region. We’ll use ...

This is the first and introductory piece in our series of six features on the Midwestern Democratic decline where we’ll be diving into consequential parts of the Midwest and the prevailing headwinds faced by the Democratic Party in the region. ...

We love covering Senate elections here at The Postrider, and after some narrow misses in our 2020 forecast (we stacked the odds against some candidates that won but were pretty accurate by being far more conservative than other outlets with ...