Tag: 2024 election
What Happens to Our 2024 Presidential Election Model Now?
Well, this is awkward. We’ve spent months of our time building out a model of the grand electoral rematch between Donald Trump and Joe Biden. Now that Biden has dropped out at the last minute, where does that leave us, ...
When Will the Rust Belt’s Electoral Supremacy End?
Recently, we dove into something of a political obsession of ours: the “crossover” between the Rust Belt and the Sun Belt – and tried to figure out at what point Democrats would have an easier time winning the Sun Belt ...
Is the Rust Belt Still the Lowest Hanging Fruit for Biden?
“The Rust Belt or bust” is the mantra of conventional political wisdom that just will not die out... does it still hold water?
When Trump Might Name His Running Mate, and Why He Should Wait
Trump would be wise to wait until the week before the convention, just like most campaigns do.
Politics Express: Our 2024 Presidential Election Model
Our 2024 Presidential Election Model is live! The Postrider‘s Politics Editor and Editor-in-Chief unpack the basics, talk about their philosophy, why they’ve beaten the heavy-hitting models the last three cycles, and have some fun explaining how you can use the map too. ...
2024 Presidential Election Model
We're back and excited to cover this cycle. Use our tool to make your own assumptions and happy electioneering!
How Our 2024 Presidential Model Works—And How You Can Use It Too
A primer on the basics.
2024 Presidential Model: Comprehensive Methodology and Approach
How we combine quantitative and qualitative analysis to beat other election models, and how you can too.
What is the County Line, and Why Is Everyone in New Jersey Talking About It?
Lets face it: this has been a pretty boring primary season. Despite the best efforts of Dean Phillips, Nikki Haley, and a few political columnists, Donald Trump and Joe Biden easily won the nominations of their respective parties, passing the ...
Alaska and Maine’s Ranked-Choice Elections Could Have a Profound Impact on the 2024 Presidential Election
In 2020, Alaska voters approved a ballot initiative which converted their primary system into a nonpartisan blanket primary wherein the four candidates who received the most votes would go to the general election. There, the winner would be determined by ...
Donald Trump Should Deliver the Republican Response to the State of the Union
President Joe Biden’s 2024 State of the Union is set to be far more consequential than his 2023 address. The Biden administration, not to mention his campaign, are sure to try and seize on the March 7 speech as a ...
Democrats Do Not, In Fact, Have a Better Option Than Biden
On Friday, New York Times opinion columnist Ezra Klein published an audio essay in which he praises the accomplishments of President Joe Biden while simultaneously arguing that he should end his 2024 reelection campaign. You can listen to (or read) ...
Politics Express: Trump, the Presumptive Nominee?
The Postrider‘s Politics Editor Lars Emerson and Editor-in-Chief Michael Lovito hop on to talk about whether Donald Trump should be considered the Republican Party’s presumptive nominee already, after just two primary contests; how he can power through to the general ...
At This Point, You’d Rather Be Joe Biden Than Donald Trump
We told you before, we'll say it again: Biden was wise to run again.
Biden Will Not — and Should Not — Drop Harris From the Ticket
How many times do we have to beat this drum?
The 2024 Republican Vice Presidential Power Index
Use our time-tested tool to pick a given GOP nominee and find their strongest running mate.
How Our 2024 Republican Vice Presidential Power Index Works
If there is one particular niche we are known for here at The Postrider, it is our religious coverage of vice presidents, the vice presidential selection process, and what goes into a strong vice presidential pick. One of our notable ...
The Senate Races to Watch in 2024
Though the presidential election will consume much of the attention, control of the Senate is very much at stake, and things don't look good for Democrats.
The Case Against Ron DeSantis
Besides a former president, no other name dominates the 2024 GOP primary chatter more than Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. But his candidacy (and chance of being president) is incredibly inflated -- here's why.
There Are Only Six Swing States
Another presidential cycle is looming. As always, a tiny portion of voters in a select few states will decide the president, and these “swing states” will dominate the candidates’ attention, and therefore national attention as well. The idea that only ...
Biden’s Second State of the Union: What to Glean from a Speech That Changed Nothing
State of the Union addresses in the modern era are – at best – relatively innocuous exercises in American political ritual that occasionally generate memeable moments. At worst, they are useless fulfilments of a “from time to time” constitutional requirement ...
Politics Express: 2024 Republican Primary Draft – Post-Midterm Check In
After the 2022 midterms and our first Republican candidate jumping into the field, Lars, Michael, and Chris hop on to make some big moves in our 2024 Republican Primary rosters! Check out the lineup and the trades here, and listen ...