Tag: ratings
Initial Rating: New York Senate Race
As late as last year, there was some chatter that Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who has emerged as the face of the Democratic Party’s left-wing, would challenge Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer in New York’s Democratic Senate primary.
Initial Rating: Alabama Senate Race
In 2020, we rated Alabama's Senate election, which pit incumbent Democrat Doug Jones against former Auburn football coach Tommy Tuberville, as “likely R” because of Jones’ possible incumbent advantage and the peculiarities of college football loyalty.
Initial Rating: Arkansas Senate Race
Last cycle, we profiled the Arkansas Senate race between Republican incumbent Tom Cotton and Libertarian candidate Ricky Harrington Jr. – a blowout in favor of Cotton thanks to the fact the Democratic nominee, John Mahony, dropped out after the filing deadline and could not be replaced.
Initial Rating: California Senate Race
Oftentimes when a governor appoints a senator due to a vacancy, it can lead to a fierce primary fight within the incumbent party or the elevation of a weak candidate that can lead to some strange results, like a Democrat winning in Alabama or a Republican winning in Massachusetts.
Initial Rating: South Carolina Senate Race
Incumbent Republican Senator from South Carolina Tim Scott has been having a moment the last couple of years.
Evaluating Our 2020 Presidential Ratings
With every state now called in the race for the presidency, it’s official: Joe Biden has won the election, becoming the first nominee to successfully unseat an incumbent president in almost 30 years. The Biden ticket featured the first ever ...
Our Final 2020 Presidential Election Ratings
Election Day is hours away, and after pushing out our final overview of the race for control of the Senate yesterday, we’re excited to give our final overview of the state of the presidential race. Our two-person team here at ...
Our Final 2020 Senate Election Ratings
Election Day is days away, and if you’re not glued to FiveThirtyEight, Politico, and political Twitter, you probably have a life. Our two-person team here at The Postrider certainly has been and we’re ready to stay up all night — ...
Presidential Race Ratings Update: Iowa
It’s been a couple weeks, and we’re really getting up against the wire here with less than one week until Election Day. But we have one last (probably) ratings change for our presidential map as we face down the election ...
Presidential Race Ratings Update: Michigan, Nebraska’s Second Congressional District, and Virginia
Another week, another series of ratings changes. We’re three weeks away from Election Day and looking every day at the wave of new polls and information coming in. After playing it safe for the last few weeks, we’ve come to ...
The Postrider’s 2020 Senate Ratings
The presidential election may be hoarding the spotlight this cycle, but Americans across 34 states will simultaneously determine the fate of the nation’s highest deliberative body, the Senate. With 35 seats up for election, and nearly two-thirds of them controlled ...
Presidential Race Ratings Update: Georgia, Ohio, and Utah
In the month since we released our 2020 presidential election ratings, we’ve been forced to reckon with two major news events for which the full impacts on the presidential election are unclear, but certainly relevant: the death of Justice Ruth ...
The Postrider’s 2020 Presidential Ratings
Can you believe general election season is just getting started? Yes, with the conclusion of the Democratic and Republican national conventions in August, we’re officially off to the races! Call this election whatever you want: the “most important election in ...
How We Did On Our 2018 Senate Projections
Though the election was over a month ago, several close races have been forced into overtime. Additional ballots were counted, recounts were triggered in Florida, and Mississippi held the final round of its special election for the Senate at the ...
2018 Senate Election Ratings and Forecast
On November 6, America will line up for what may be one of the most consequential midterms of the 21st Century. Whether it can be seen ultimately as a referendum on Donald Trump, progressivism, eroding political norms, or on identity ...