Wisconsin’s Lost Some Electoral Relevance, but It’s Still a Bellwether
In a high turnout presidential election, expect Wisconsin to be close
Michigan Presents Both Harris and Trump with Unique Risks and Opportunities
Demographic trends and a fraying coalition pose risks for Harris in Michigan, though Republican missteps provide an opening
In New Mexico, Demographic Mirages Give Way to a State that Favors Democrats
On the surface, the Land of Enchantment looks like a Trump pickup opportunity, but a closer look reveals unusual demographics which clearly favor Biden.
When Will the Rust Belt’s Electoral Supremacy End?
Recently, we dove into something of a political obsession of ours: the “crossover” between the Rust Belt and the Sun Belt – and tried to figure out at what point Democrats would have an easier time winning the Sun Belt ...
Is the Rust Belt Still the Lowest Hanging Fruit for Biden?
“The Rust Belt or bust” is the mantra of conventional political wisdom that just will not die out... does it still hold water?
2024 Presidential Model: Comprehensive Methodology and Approach
How we combine quantitative and qualitative analysis to beat other election models, and how you can too.
Romneyland: Part IV — The Right Man at the Right Time
How would President Romney have handled the pandemic and the 2020 election?
Romneyland: Part III — A United Tomorrow
Would President Romney pull off reelection in 2016?
Romneyland: Part I — Believe in America
How could Mitt Romney have won the 2012 election?
At This Point, You’d Rather Be Joe Biden Than Donald Trump
We told you before, we'll say it again: Biden was wise to run again.
Joe Manchin’s Retirement Leaves Control of the Senate to Just Two Races
2024 will be the largest election year in history. For the first time ever, nations consisting of over four billion people will participate in elections – including eight of the ten most populous countries and the three largest democracies: India, ...
The Winners and Losers of the 2023 Elections
Using midterm elections as a tool to predict the results of the next presidential election is never a good idea. Voter turnout is usually lower, local idiosyncrasies play a bigger role, and a lot can change in a mere two ...
The Senate Races to Watch in 2024
Though the presidential election will consume much of the attention, control of the Senate is very much at stake, and things don't look good for Democrats.
Why We Approach Politics the Way We Do
This week marks our fifth year at The Postrider, so it’s left us a bit nostalgic. Here are some reflections on why we cover politics the way we do and why we hope that makes us unique in the oversaturated world of content.
All 32 NHL Logos – Ranked
Back when I ranked all 30 Major League Baseball logos, I talked about how my early interest in sports as a child was really an early interest in logos and uniforms. What I left out is that the NHL, more ...
Who Should Host the Party Conventions in 2028? Here Are Five Novel Ideas
Many of America's great cities have yet to host a major party convention. In this piece, our Politics Editor suggests five cities that meet the political needs of the 21st century.
The Case Against Ron DeSantis
Besides a former president, no other name dominates the 2024 GOP primary chatter more than Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. But his candidacy (and chance of being president) is incredibly inflated -- here's why.
There Are Only Six Swing States
Another presidential cycle is looming. As always, a tiny portion of voters in a select few states will decide the president, and these “swing states” will dominate the candidates’ attention, and therefore national attention as well. The idea that only ...
Members of Congress Have a Hard Job, Their Work Ethic is Just Fine
Let's get the controversial stuff out up front: members of Congress are not paid enough, they work far more than headlines indicate, their work/life balance is brutal, and they probably work harder and longer than you do.
Opinion | Don’t Credit McCarthy With the New House Rules
We recently ran an opinion piece by Robert Palmer arguing that the rules changes in the House of Representatives for the 118th Congress, which came about due to a change in party control and a tumultuous speaker election, would help ...
The SALT Deduction is Bad Policy — and Bad Politics
One of the best things that the Republican trifecta in 2017 did was buried in the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act.
Some Democrats are trying to reverse it, despite the fact it is a clear tax cut for the wealthy.
A Proposal for a Fair Presidential Primary System
The presidential primary process is in desperate need of reform. Here is our proposal to balance the strengths of the modern system with fairness to all states and regions with a splash of theatrics.