Category: Politics

Politics

Initial Rating: Oregon Senate Race

Jo Rae Perkins v. Ron Wyden Safe Democrat Oregon holds a lot of potential for Republicans. It’s a large western state with lots of white voters and most of the state (geographically speaking) is deep red. But, as Colorado and ...
Politics

Initial Rating: Hawaii Senate Race

Bob McDermott v. Brian Schatz Safe Democrat If you spend way too much time on Twitter, you’ve probably come across Hawaii Senator Brian Schatz, perhaps the most active Democratic lawmaker on the platform. He’s also among the most aggressive “climate ...
Politics

Initial Rating: Kentucky Senate Race

Charles Booker v. Rand Paul Safe Republican In 2020, nobody’s profile was raised more by losing a primary than the progressive, Bernie Sanders- and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-endorsed Kentucky state Representative Charles Booker, who lost his state’s Democratic Senate primary by less ...
Politics

Initial Rating: Indiana Senate Race

Thomas McDermott Jr. v. Todd Young Safe Republican Look at a map of Indiana’s congressional districts and you’ll probably be surprised to see a little patch of blue, far away from Indianapolis, in the far Northwest corner of the state. ...
Politics

Initial Rating: Iowa Senate Race

We were perhaps too generous to Iowa in our 2020 forecasts, rating both its Senate race and presidential race as toss-ups due to an array of competitive polls and an assumption that it would revert to the mean.
Politics

Initial Rating: Kansas Senate Race

Mark Holland v. Jerry Moran Safe Republican As incumbent Republican Senator Jerry Moran vies for his third term, many readers may wonder whether the landslide defeat of the anti-abortion amendment on Kansas’ early-August primary ballot is a sign of Republican ...
Politics

Initial Rating: Idaho Senate Race

David Roth v. Mike Crapo Safe Republican Among the least interesting Senate races this cycle is the one in Idaho. (What an intriguing lead that inspires you to continue reading, right?) Incumbent Republican Senator Mike Crapo is seeking his fifth ...
Politics

Initial Rating: Nevada Senate Race

For a year we’ve said this would be the most competitive this cycle, and then gone farther to argue that the Nevada Senate race is actually the most important race in the entire 2022 election. That hasn’t changed.
Politics

Initial Rating: Arizona Senate Race

There’s good news for Democrats in the Grand Canyon State where their incumbent (and favorite) senator, former astronaut Mark Kelly, is up for election to a full term after his special election victory a couple years ago.
Politics

Initial Rating: North Dakota Senate Race

Katrina Christiansen v. John Hoeven Safe Republican It wasn’t that long ago – 2010, in fact – when North Dakota had two Democratic senators (and a Democratic Congressman to boot) despite having not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since ...
Politics

Initial Rating: Illinois Senate Race

Kathy Salvi v. Tammy Duckworth Safe Democrat Up for the first time since she defeated incumbent Republican Senator Mark Kirk in 2016, Democrat Tammy Duckworth has had quite a stint in office. A veteran who lost both legs as a ...
Politics

Initial Rating: New York Senate Race

As late as last year, there was some chatter that Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who has emerged as the face of the Democratic Party’s left-wing, would challenge Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer in New York’s Democratic Senate primary.
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