Category: Politics

Politics

Initial Rating: Oklahoma Senate Race

Madison Horn v. James Lankford Safe Republican In many other states, an incumbent senator being adjacent to a major (if undercovered) sexual abuse scandal and testifying that you believe 13 year-olds can consent to sex would at least inject some ...
Politics

Initial Rating: South Dakota Senate Race

Brian Bengs v. John Thune Safe Republican Like its neighbor to the north, South Dakota was once a red state that frequently sent Democrats to the Senate, counting 1972 presidential nominee George McGovern and one time Senate Majority Leader Tom ...
Politics

Initial Rating: Vermont Senate Race

Gerald Malloy v. Peter Welch Safe Democrat This November, there will be an open Senate election in a state that is over 90% white, over 60% rural, and has only elected one Democratic senator in its 231 year history. It’s ...
Politics

Initial Rating: Connecticut Senate Race

Leora Levy v. Richard Blumenthal Safe Democrat When Richard Blumenthal, now a two-term Democratic incumbent, first won his seat, it was 2010, and Republicans were obliterating Democratic candidates up and down the ballot. Up against businesswoman Linda McMahon (the wife ...
Politics

Initial Rating: Oregon Senate Race

Jo Rae Perkins v. Ron Wyden Safe Democrat Oregon holds a lot of potential for Republicans. It’s a large western state with lots of white voters and most of the state (geographically speaking) is deep red. But, as Colorado and ...
Politics

Initial Rating: Hawaii Senate Race

Bob McDermott v. Brian Schatz Safe Democrat If you spend way too much time on Twitter, you’ve probably come across Hawaii Senator Brian Schatz, perhaps the most active Democratic lawmaker on the platform. He’s also among the most aggressive “climate ...
Politics

Initial Rating: Kentucky Senate Race

Charles Booker v. Rand Paul Safe Republican In 2020, nobody’s profile was raised more by losing a primary than the progressive, Bernie Sanders- and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-endorsed Kentucky state Representative Charles Booker, who lost his state’s Democratic Senate primary by less ...
Politics

Initial Rating: Indiana Senate Race

Thomas McDermott Jr. v. Todd Young Safe Republican Look at a map of Indiana’s congressional districts and you’ll probably be surprised to see a little patch of blue, far away from Indianapolis, in the far Northwest corner of the state. ...
Politics

Initial Rating: Iowa Senate Race

We were perhaps too generous to Iowa in our 2020 forecasts, rating both its Senate race and presidential race as toss-ups due to an array of competitive polls and an assumption that it would revert to the mean.
Politics

Initial Rating: Kansas Senate Race

Mark Holland v. Jerry Moran Safe Republican As incumbent Republican Senator Jerry Moran vies for his third term, many readers may wonder whether the landslide defeat of the anti-abortion amendment on Kansas’ early-August primary ballot is a sign of Republican ...
Politics

Initial Rating: Idaho Senate Race

David Roth v. Mike Crapo Safe Republican Among the least interesting Senate races this cycle is the one in Idaho. (What an intriguing lead that inspires you to continue reading, right?) Incumbent Republican Senator Mike Crapo is seeking his fifth ...
Politics

Initial Rating: Nevada Senate Race

For a year we’ve said this would be the most competitive this cycle, and then gone farther to argue that the Nevada Senate race is actually the most important race in the entire 2022 election. That hasn’t changed.
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